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on 8 May 2015
Everything as expected, Excellent choice, great purchase.
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on 27 December 2012
Brzezinski presents an excellent detailed plan on how to reverse the decline of the United States of America. His greatest concern is about government: "The US Congress should digest the ominous reality. In addition to, a political gridlock at home perpetuating Americas domestic decay, a foreign policy not shaped by a realistic calculus of the national interest, is a prescription for an America gravely at risk in the next twenty years."
Brzezinski is an expert in knowing Chinese intentions which de describes as: (1) to reduce the dangers of security of encirclement due to US security links with Japan, South Korea and the Philippines, (2) achieve a favored position in the East Asian community (3) consolidate with Pakistan as a counter weight to India (4) gain an edge on Russia in Central Asia and Mongolia (5) integrate Taiwan in China (6) be the favored economic partner to natural resource countries and (7) achieve a dominant export position in Africa, the Middle East and Latin America. That is the reality the USA faces. What to do?
The USA should use a two pronged approach, establishing a Western Alliance that covers the area from Vancouver to Vladivostok and become an appreciated "partner' of the rapidly growing Asian countries, China, India and Indonesia whilst maintaining excellent relations with Japan and South Korea. This will not be easy, as tensions between these counties will rise. The main task of the USA would be with diplomatic efforts and economic engagement to prevent these tensions from leading to violent conflict. This would involve, for example, "promoting" a genuine reconciliation between China and Japan. The USA should avoid getting involved in any violent conflicts in the Asian region, as that would destroy her usefulness in conflict prevention and containment. The exceptions would be attacks by China on Japan or South Korea as the USA has treaty obligations.
The USA has overwhelming military power but has become inefficient in usung it as shown by wars with Iraq and Afghanistan lasting more than 8 years with unsatisfactory results and losing the Vietnam war. The problem is not military power but a "going alone strategy". The USA was successful in the Second War because of its alliance with the Soviet Union and the UK and in the liberation of Kuwait because it was the leading member of an effective alliance.
The security and safety of America would be totally safe if an alliance would be established between the USA, Canada, the European Union, Russia and Turkey that would cooperate in foreign policy and military planning and action. That should be the goal for 2050. Russia is "flirting" with China, but it realizes that it can only become a junior Partner in that alliance. Turkey could become the leader in a radical Islamic Group. Here the USA has to support the European Union to become stronger and more coherent and accept to work for realizing this long-term policy.
Brzezinski presents a long list of problems that lead to the American decline being: a massive growing and unsustainable national debt, a flawed financial system, widening income inequality and stagnating social mobility, a deficient public education, a decaying infra structure, a public that is highly ignorant about the world, and most important of all, an increasingly gridlocked and highly partisan political system that is highly dependent on financial contributions to political campaigns and is increasingly vulnerable to the power of well-endowed but narrowly motivated domestic and foreign lobbies that advance their agendas at the expense of the national interest.
Mobilizing the National Will to change is possible but far from certain. It might only come when a severe financial crisis suddenly plungers America and much of the other world in a devastating depression. He also refers to a study of the Rand Corporation that concluded, " Our nation is in for an extended period of political warfare between the left and the right." The risk of severe damage without radical change is high.
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on 27 July 2015
while I don't subscribe in his political philosophy and doctrine. I make sure to read everything he writes. great read.
his views have never been as important as today.
I recommend it to everybody who has an interest in todays worlds socio-political map.
postage and packing were good too.
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on 30 March 2014
world is easy when you see a big picture and Zbig see it. In very eloquent way he describes complex problem and dilemmas. Great simple but not simplistic analytics and not boring!
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on 5 November 2016
I enjoyed reading the book. I found it very clear and logical. Brzezinski's makes geopolitics look easy by breaking down causes and consequences of each potential strategic objective of the US and other major countries.
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on 15 May 2016
A Bible for students of Geopolitics.
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on 24 January 2015
The author has a very sharp insight
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on 30 December 2012
This is a must read for all, especially Americans -
it is a 100% realistic accessment of the world today.
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on 8 September 2015
not sure about the thinking behind this but arrived well and as expected thanks.
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on 24 December 2013
really poor. it enlists a large number of obvious facts that nothing add to the well know matter of our history and society. it seems to read wikipedia
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