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The Wizard and the Prophet: Two Groundbreaking Scientists and Their Conflicting Visions of the Future of Our Planet Hardcover – 14 Jun. 2018
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In forty years, the population of the Earth will reach ten billion. Can our world support so many people? What kind of world will it be? In this unique, original and important book, Charles C. Mann illuminates the four great challenges we face food, water, energy, climate change through an exploration of the crucial work and wide-ranging influence of two little-known twentieth-century scientists, Norman Borlaug and William Vogt.
Vogt (the Prophet) was the intellectual forefather of the environmental movement, and believed that in our using more than the planet has to give, our prosperity will bring us to ruin. Borlaug s research in the 1950s led to the development of modern high-yield crops that have saved millions from starvation. The Wizard of Mann s title, he believed that science will continue to rise to the challenges we face.
Mann tells the stories of these scientists and their crucial influence on today s debates as his story ranges from Mexico to India, across continents and oceans and from the past and the present to the future. Brilliantly original in concept, wryly observant and deeply researched, The Wizard and the Prophet is essential reading for readers of Yuval Noah Harari s Sapiens or Jared Diamond s Guns, Germs and Steel, for anyone interested in how we got here and in the future of our species.
- Print length640 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- PublisherPicador
- Publication date14 Jun. 2018
- Reading age18 years and up
- Dimensions16.2 x 4.7 x 24.1 cm
- ISBN-101509884165
- ISBN-13978-1509884162
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Review
Beautifully written . . . fascinating . . . Mann shows us that the arguments about the environment that are raging today have a long and rich history. ― Literary Review
Does the earth’s finite carrying capacity mean economic growth has to stop? That momentous question is the subject of Charles Mann’s brilliant book The Wizard and the Prophet . . . A treasure house of knowledge . . . Indispensable. ― Wall Street Journal
‘[Mann’s] gift for explaining science shines on every page . . . A stimulating, thoughtful, balanced overview of matters vital to us all. As the world, besieged by ever-more titanic storms and wildfires, threatens to explode into a terrifying new normal, books like this . . . are more necessary than ever. ― Boston Globe
Masterful . . . Mann’s most spectacular accomplishment is to take no sides . . . An insightful, highly significant account that makes no predictions but lays out the critical environmental problems already us. ― Kirkus (starred review)
This unique, encompassing, clarifying, engrossing, inquisitive, and caring work of multifaceted research, synthesis and analysis humanizes the challenges and contradictions of modern environmentalism and and our struggle towards a viable future. ― Booklist (starred review)
A fascinating story of two forgotten men whose ideas changed our understanding of humanity’s place in nature . . . Mann offers a sympathetic, nuanced way to understand one of the fundamental debates of our time: How will 10 billion humans live sustainably on Earth, when our demands for energy and food are growing? -- Annalee Newitz ― Ars Technica
Mann is a compelling and forensic analyst of big tipping points in human affairs. ― The Washington Post
About the Author
Product details
- Publisher : Picador; Main Market edition (14 Jun. 2018)
- Language : English
- Hardcover : 640 pages
- ISBN-10 : 1509884165
- ISBN-13 : 978-1509884162
- Reading age : 18 years and up
- Dimensions : 16.2 x 4.7 x 24.1 cm
- Best Sellers Rank: 347,155 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- 230 in Environmental Philosophy
- 290 in Natural Resources Management
- 425 in Global Warming & Ecology
- Customer reviews:
About the author

Charles C. Mann is the author of 1493, a New York Times best-seller, and 1491, which won the U.S. National Academy of Sciences' Keck award for the best book of the year. A correspondent for The Atlantic Monthly, Science, and Wired, he has covered the intersection of science, technology, and commerce for many newspapers and magazines here and abroad, including National Geographic, the New York Times, Vanity Fair, and the Washington Post. In addition to 1491 and 1493, he is the co-author of five other books, one of which is a young person's version of 1491 called Before Columbus. His website is www.charlesmann.org.
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The author has an incredible story telling ability. The book is dense, but reads like a novel.
The level of investigation on the parts involved is incredible.
And to top it all, a very contemporary discussion with arguments that provide both sides with insights and considerations.
Also presented, though not central to the text, is an important evolution researcher (Lynn Margulis), who was of the opinion that the human species is bound by evolution and sure to disappear, never mind what it does.
Still, the following questions arise:
One. Vogt is not a prophet, most of whom promised salvation after deserved suffering. Rather he is a Cassandra, who was cursed to know the future but not to be believed.
Two. The Wizard was careful. He did not engage in dangerous science, though he might have failed in his efforts to overcome the Malthusian loop. It is not clear at all whether he would support risky geoengineering.
Three. The book present very well two contrasting ideologies. Thus, it sharpens the question who shall decide on which one to base action. But it does not pose this critical question as needed.
These and other comments do not impair the quality of the book, which should be pondered by all who are concerned, or should be concerned, about the future of humanity, starting with political leaders.
Professor Yehezkel Dror
The Hebrew University of Jerusalem
They differed greatly in their answers. One was William Vogt, the other was Norman Borlaug. Vogt was born in 1902 . He laid the foundations for the environmental movement. He argued that unless we reduce consumption we will overwhelm the ecosystems. Affluence is our biggest problem. His cry was cut back!
Borlaug was born in 1914. was a technology optimist. it will enable us to survive. His views fuelled the Green Revolution. For him, affluence was the solution. His cry was Innovate! He saw salvation in our ingenuity. Vogt argued for getting smaller. We need to eat less. He was the founder of the prophets, while Borlaug was the model for the wizards. They only met once in the 1940s. They never agreed. Borlaug described the prophets as Luddites. Their disciples have continued the disputes between the two scools. Today the gulf between them is even wider. It is a dialogue of the deaf.
The clash is more about values than facts. Each views the world in a different way. Prophets believe it is finite while Wizards see it as inexhaustible.They regard our planet as a toolbox. Vogt died in 1968. He had come to believe that our consumer society was deeply flawed. As the author points out these different views are not new. They can be found in the writings of for example Voltaire, Muir, Huxley and Wilberforce. Wizard or Prophet ? No question is more important to our crowded globe.
Mann superbly takes us through the ideas of the two opposing views and looks at what biology can teach us. He examines Plato's four elements: earth, water, fire and air and relates each to Vogt's and Borlaug's arguments. This is a wide ranging account of the crises facing our planet. His writing style is accessible and enjoyable. Of particular value is his use of many case studies. The science is fascinating. For example his explanation of C3 and C4 plants is excellent.
Top reviews from other countries
This book is highly recommended for anyone interested in critical thinking on the meaty topic of how best to harness the resources that are available to us. I will not share where I finally landed, or even if I'm going to stay here forever. Let the book guide you through your own personal journey through the stories and evidence presented, so that you may find your own equilibrium.






