• RRP: £9.99
  • You Save: £0.82 (8%)
FREE Delivery in the UK on orders with at least £10 of books.
Only 3 left in stock (more on the way).
Dispatched from and sold by Amazon. Gift-wrap available.

Dispatch to:
To see addresses, please
Or
Please enter a valid UK postcode.
Or
+ £2.80 UK delivery
Used: Like New | Details
Sold by Wordery
Condition: Used: Like New
Comment: Receive this fine as new book in 4-5 days. Shipped from UK via Royal Mail.

Have one to sell?
Flip to back Flip to front
Listen Playing... Paused   You're listening to a sample of the Audible audio edition.
Learn more
See all 2 images

Will China Dominate the 21st Century? (Global Futures) Paperback – 7 Mar 2014

4.5 out of 5 stars 10 customer reviews

See all formats and editions Hide other formats and editions
Amazon Price
New from Used from
Kindle Edition
"Please retry"
Paperback
"Please retry"
£9.17
£6.25 £7.17
Want it delivered by Wednesday, 23 Nov.? Order within 5 hrs 30 mins and choose Priority Delivery at checkout. Details
Note: This item is eligible for click and collect. Details
Pick up your parcel at a time and place that suits you.
  • Choose from over 13,000 locations across the UK
  • Prime members get unlimited deliveries at no additional cost
How to order to an Amazon Pickup Location?
  1. Find your preferred location and add it to your address book
  2. Dispatch to this address when you check out
Learn more

Top Deals in Books
See the latest top deals in Books. Shop now
£9.17 FREE Delivery in the UK on orders with at least £10 of books. Only 3 left in stock (more on the way). Dispatched from and sold by Amazon. Gift-wrap available.
click to open popover

Frequently Bought Together

  • Will China Dominate the 21st Century? (Global Futures)
  • +
  • When China Rules The World: The End of the Western World and the Birth of a New Global Order
  • +
  • Tiger Head, Snake Tails: China today, how it got there and why it has to change
Total price: £36.15
Buy the selected items together

Enter your mobile number or email address below and we'll send you a link to download the free Kindle App. Then you can start reading Kindle books on your smartphone, tablet, or computer - no Kindle device required.

  • Apple
  • Android
  • Windows Phone

To get the free app, enter your mobile phone number.



Top Deals in Books
See the latest top deals in Books. Shop now

Product details

  • Paperback: 120 pages
  • Publisher: Polity Press; 1 edition (7 Mar. 2014)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0745679277
  • ISBN-13: 978-0745679273
  • Product Dimensions: 12.4 x 1.3 x 19 cm
  • Average Customer Review: 4.5 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (10 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: 433,873 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
  • See Complete Table of Contents

Product Description

Review

"A very readable and plausible take on why China will not dominate the twenty–first century."
International Affairs

"Leading China commentator Jonathan Fenby s latest book on China′s position in the world offers a nuanced picture of the country′s strengths and weaknesses." China Daily   "Fenby understands to its deepest roots the nature of Chinese Communist Party rule and its effect throughout society. The Party will, therefore, hate his eloquent and merciless dissection of its entire record and performance. But readers new to China should start right here." Jonathan Mirsky, Times Higher Education   "An excellent summary of the broad spectrum of very serious issues China faces in the immediate future." Fraser Howie, author of Red Capitalism: The Fragile Financial Foundation of China′s Extraordinary Rise   "The development of any country is accompanied by twists and turns. This book is a reminder that it is still too early to position the world at the dawn of a Chinese century." Global Times   "Fenby′s concise, yet comprehensive, essay should be the first thing read by anyone with an interest – business, political, or intellectual – in the future of China."  Charles Horner, Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute   "An excellent, current guide to the challenges and dangers ahead for modern China. It describes, with verve and insight, why the ′China Dream′ may lead to a chilly awakening. Fenby, a delightful writer, explains why China will not dominate the 21st century, with compelling critiques and a sharp, clear summary of its economic and political challenges."
Robert B. Zoellick, former president of the World Bank Group, U.S. Trade Representative, and U.S. Deputy Secretary of State

"Jonathan Fenby offers a well–informed and balanced assessment of China′s past and prospects, recognising its remarkable economic achievements but also noting the huge economic, social and political challenges it confronts. China will not, he concludes, dominate the world in the 21st century. He is almost certainly right."
Martin Wolf, Chief Economics Commentator, the Financial Times

"A smart, wise, well written essay which answers with much common sense and learning one of the biggest questions of our time."
Chris Patten

"An excellent summary of the broad spectrum of very serious issues China faces in the immediate future."
Fraser Howie, author of Red Capitalism: The Fragile Financial Foundation of China′s Extraordinary Rise

"In this brief but thought–provoking book, acclaimed China specialist Jonathan Fenby challenges and punctures a number of myths about China′s rise and offers valuable insights its current dilemmas and unpredictable future. A stimulating ′must read′ for all observers of the China scene."
David Shambaugh, George Washington University and the Brookings Institution

"Jonathan Fenby has managed a highly impressive feat: within a short and elegant text, he has pinpointed the real challenges facing China today if it is truly to become a global actor that will play a serious role in the coming century. The insights give us a road–map for what we might expect from this superpower in the making.  A compelling and essential read from a premier China analyst."
Rana Mitter, author of China′s War with Japan, 1937–1945: The Struggle for Survival

"China is a bubble in multiple ways – not least in the way its supposed never–ending rise is interpreted and understood in the west. Jonathan Fenby shows courage and insight in pricking the bubble in this important book."
Will Hutton

"Fenby′s thoughtful, balanced analysis of what China has achieved, how it has done so, and the challenges ahead is an excellent corrective to the surfeit of overly laudatory and excessively dire assessments of China′s future and its implications for the world."
Thomas Fingar, Stanford University

"In this spirited and insightful book, Jonathan Fenby takes on the China bulls with a clear–eyed look at China s dysfunctional political system, which does not appear up to the task of tackling the social, legal, economic, environmental, demographic and security challenges facing the country. Highly recommended. "
Joseph Fewsmith, Boston University, author of The Logic and Limits of Political Reform in China

  "In the flood of books on China, this is one of the most concise and clearly written."
The Age

"The beauty of Fenby s book is that it is superbly concise; with over 30 years experience of covering China, Fenby is able to distil complex ideas down to their core elements and burnish them with accompanying illustrative anecdotes."
LSE Review of Books

About the Author

Jonathan Fenby is a former editor of the Observer and South China Morning Post and a founding partner and Managing Director of Trusted Sources Research Service. He is an author of several popular books on China, including the acclaimed Tiger Head, Snake Tails (2013) and The Penguin History of Modern China (2009).


Customer Reviews

4.5 out of 5 stars
5 star
5
4 star
5
3 star
0
2 star
0
1 star
0
See all 10 customer reviews
Share your thoughts with other customers

Top Customer Reviews

Format: Paperback Vine Customer Review of Free Product ( What's this? )
Based upon C Wright Mills conception of the power elite, the book aims to show that China will suffer the death knell of dissolution because it fails to embrace liberal democracy and is written from the Fukayama viewpoint that the end of history is neo liberal ideology. But whilst reading it, and it is a very detailed but also very easy to read type of book I was reminded by C Wright Mills.

The central premise is that due to its static ideology, China will undergo some form of crisis as a critical middle class will emerge no longer stomped upon by the communist cadre. When this occurs the dissent will render the country asunder as economic progress will no longer sooth the tensions which industrialism creates - workers and owners - capitalists and the proletariat. However the same conditions have not exactly brought revolution in the West as power and wealth since 1980 has meant it has been accumulated by an oligarchy. The iron law of oligarchy which Michels outlines applies to both the USA, which is becoming increasingly polarised between those who are well and those who are unwell.

China however has a belief and faith in its own inherent traditions and the Communist Party, as the author details are still intact and believe in its central tenets. It is just that they also believe they can go through the development stages of capitalism, overseen by a Communist Party to lead to the central core idea - the withering of the state.
Read more ›
Comment 3 people found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you? Yes No Sending feedback...
Thank you for your feedback.
Sorry, we failed to record your vote. Please try again
Report abuse
Format: Paperback Vine Customer Review of Free Product ( What's this? )
This is a relatively (blessedly) brief analysis of a highly complex subject, an extended essay. This is not scholars account, with innumerable references (although there are more in later chapters), but rather a deeply informed point of view on the subject of huge importance. Fenby's core conclusion is that it is much less likely that China will dominate the 21st century than is generally assumed. The projections based on continuing trends would certainly lead to the conclusion that economically, politically and possibly culturally China will become the dominant nation, and that is part of this, its negative effects such as pollution will also be so significant that they will outweigh local efforts. Of course such assumptions have been very frequently demonstrated as false: an Fenby provides a wide range of arguments for why China will find its development much more problematic and therefore much slower than the optimists (or pessimists, depending on your point of view) assume. Indeed the pollution of the cities will be one of those factors. The arguments are cogent, well argued with salient supportive detail. forecasting 50 years out is arguably a mugs game and there is no more guarantee that Fenby is right then those who believe that China will dominate, but this at least provides a useful counterbalance of perspective.
Comment 2 people found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you? Yes No Sending feedback...
Thank you for your feedback.
Sorry, we failed to record your vote. Please try again
Report abuse
Format: Kindle Edition
This sharp and provocative essay by Jonathan Fenby is required reading on China right now. Fenby is a China sceptic and doesn't believe that the Middle Kingdom will become the dominant power of the next century, as America was of the last century. He identifies several reasons for this and spends most of his time discussing the challenges that Beijing faces in evolving further from the Deng model it embraced in the 1970s. Fenby writes lucidly- this is definitely an essay not a book- but its also an interesting introductory analysis of China's position. As someone who is not an expert in any sense on China, I found it illuminating to read something that went against the conventional wisdom. He lays out a section on further reading as well for those whose appetite for Chinese politics has been stimulated. As an essay its worth saying that Fenby does not really go into depth on some of his arguments: occasionally I found myself thinking his argumentation was rushed- but its still worth reading, even if you might fill in the gaps or end up disagreeing with it later.
Comment 2 people found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you? Yes No Sending feedback...
Thank you for your feedback.
Sorry, we failed to record your vote. Please try again
Report abuse
Format: Paperback Vine Customer Review of Free Product ( What's this? )
I should have checked a couple of things before ordering this book: the size and number of pages. I was rather disappointed to discover it was less a book and more of an extended essay. That said you can't fault Jonathan Fenby's intimate knowledge of the country. He knows his stuff and explains in a lucid manner. Ultimately, it's easy (very easy) to read this in a single (relatively short) sitting. Was it worth it? Yes. There are some useful insights to be had and if you're looking to improve your understanding of China's economic 'miracle' then this is a worthwhile addition to your book collection.
Comment 2 people found this helpful. Was this review helpful to you? Yes No Sending feedback...
Thank you for your feedback.
Sorry, we failed to record your vote. Please try again
Report abuse
By Lost John TOP 500 REVIEWERVINE VOICE on 5 July 2014
Format: Paperback Vine Customer Review of Free Product ( What's this? )
'China finds itself at a watershed in which it needs to change but knows that change will face it with its biggest test since Deng Xiaoping found the way out of the disaster of the Mao era in the late 1970s.' 'The spectre of Gorbachev and the Bourbon monarchy is never far away.'

This is, in effect, a 24,000 word essay divided into five convenient chapters. As one would expect from a journalist of Jonathan Fenby's calibre, the prose flows well, is not in any way a difficult read, and is well-larded with historic fact and quotations. Furthermore, it is as up-to date as can be expected of anything not published as newsprint (or on the Internet) - there are 40 references to 2013 events and developments (using Amazon's 'Search Inside' facility the count was easy) - and it is not, as I had anticipated, merely a reproduction with editorial smoothing of pieces that have already appeared in newspapers.

A seasoned China watcher, Fenby does not sport rose-tinted spectacles, and does not subscribe to the popular view that the 21st Century will be China's century. This is a thoughtful contribution to any discussion on the matter. Be sure to read it soon, though, as various aspects of China's internal situation and its relationships with neighbours and some other foreign countries continue to develop rather fast. Within 12 months the book is likely to need an update.
Comment Was this review helpful to you? Yes No Sending feedback...
Thank you for your feedback.
Sorry, we failed to record your vote. Please try again
Report abuse


Feedback