Teaching about the Future Hardcover – 26 Jun 2012
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A comprehensive, integrated approach to futures studies and strategic foresight from the faculty at the University of Houston's graduate program in Futures Studies
About the Author
PETER C. BISHOP is an Associate Professor of Strategic Foresight and Director of the Graduate Program in Futures Studies at the
University of Houston, USA. He arrived there in 2005, having taught futures studies at the University of Houston-Clear Lake
campus since 1982. He received his doctorate in sociology From Michigan State University in 1974.
ANDY HINES is Lecturer and Executive-in-Residence at the University of Houston's Graduate Program in Futures Studies,
USA, where he graduated in 1991 and now speaks and consults through Hinesight. He has worked as an organizational futurist
with the Kellogg Company and Dow Chemical and as a consulting futurist with Coates & Jarratt and Social Technologies.
Most Helpful Customer Reviews on Amazon.com (beta)
What value does future forecasting offer Injury and Violence Prevention, (IVP)? For today’s and tomorrows’ extremely dramatic social changes; we must study, teach and use future forecasting. This process is more than developing a program plan, budget, evaluations; a significant complex shift in our IVP paradigms (1).
Over many decades, researcher, practitioners and advocates published IVP related journal articles on evaluating the causes and prevention of accidents and injury; however, much without incorporating any framework forecasting specifications for the drivers of change of history, technology, politics, psychology, economic and sociology – that trump that era’s science and art of evaluation (2). Moreover, few attempted to minimize those limitations by incorporating, for future changes, the earlier findings on in vivo dynamic discontinuities, into their developed plan. Today’s journal articles about violence prevention research and practice (3) face similar prior eras’ published difficulties of evaluating sociological limits many without framework forecasting projects, up front. While our classical physical public health sciences offer much cleaner evidence-based evaluations for applied translational sciences, projecting the future impacts of IVP , without projecting use of the behavioral sciences, will continue to limit IVP outcomes or newer insights for our translational research and practice.
During spring 2016, I, appreciatively, audited and, at times, mentored students at Professor David Hochfelder’s SUNY-Alb History 290: History and Future. Several students chose final project papers that apply historical skills to analyze probable future social issues, with implications that help create preferred futures for public health IVP: Concussions, opiates / heroin drug incarcerations, and violence by social media. The course syllabus summarized requirements and deadlines for each phases of the final project: Annotated bibliography from websites, publications, newspapers; a submitted weekly scanning blog of chosen sources, a 4-6 pages trend analysis of ‘drivers’, and 3-5 scenarios exploring how the subject might evolve in the next five, ten and fifty years and citing which scenarios are most probable; which are the students’ researched preferred outcome, including “black swan” scenarios.
Haddon, the father of modern injury epidemiology, and others, were seminal to lead our field .His lenses were outside the classical box of cause and prevention as he creatively linked his medical background to his engineering expertise for our modern IVP epidemiology and practices. So, must we today, also track our repeated past, learn from other discipline’s frameworks, analyze drivers and explore how the subject might develop for probable and preferred outcomes. We must publish relevant past and present historiographies for future policy debates, enhance citizenship and help analyze and create real world preferred futures.
1. Bishop PC and Hines A. Teaching about the Future. Palgrave MacMillian. 2012.(See especially: Leadership 282 ff and Framework Forecasting Specifications ,282ff) and Peter C. Bishop and Kay E. Strong. Why Teach the Future? Symposium. USA Journal of Futures Studies, June 2010, 14(4): 99-106.
2. For some classical historically repeated conclusions facing injury research and intervention evaluation studies, see my Historiography. [...] Samples on page 26-27.
3. Jeffrey A. Butts, Caterina Gouvis Roman, Lindsay Bostwick, and Jeremy R. Porter. Cure Violence: A Public Health Model to Reduce Gun Violence. Annul. Rev. Public Health 2015. 36:39–53. Symposium. First published online as a Review in Advance on January 7, 2015
Les Fisher, M.P.H.
Injury Control and Emergency Health Services , APHA
Executive Leadership Mentor and Coach
My opinions are mine alone and not necessarily those of any others individuals, groups nor organizations
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