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The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The U.S. Standard of Living since the Civil War (The Princeton Economic History of the Western World) Hardcover – 12 Jan 2016

4.4 out of 5 stars 10 customer reviews

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Product details

  • Hardcover: 784 pages
  • Publisher: Princeton University Press (12 Jan. 2016)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0691147728
  • ISBN-13: 978-0691147727
  • Product Dimensions: 16 x 5.6 x 23.9 cm
  • Average Customer Review: 4.4 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (10 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: 13,708 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
  • See Complete Table of Contents

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Product Description

Review

"[The Rise and Fall of American Growth] is this year's equivalent to Thomas Piketty's Capital in the 21st Century an essential read for all economists, who are unanimously floored by its boldness and scope even if they don't agree with its conclusions."--Adam Davidson, New York Times Magazine

"One of our greatest economic historians. . . . Gordon's exhaustive research program . . . has knocked me back on my intellectual heels."--J. Bradford DeLong, Strategy + Business

From the Back Cover

"The story of our standard of living is a vital part of American history and is well told in this fascinating book. Gordon provides colorful details and striking statistics about how the way we live has changed, and he asks whether we will live happily ever after. His answer will surprise you and challenge conventional assumptions about the future of economic growth. This book is a landmark--there is nothing else like it." --Robert Solow, Nobel Laureate in Economics

"A towering achievement that will utterly transform the debate on U.S. productivity and growth. Robert Gordon chronicles the stunning swiftness with which American lives have advanced since 1870, and raises profound questions about whether we have benefitted from one-offs that cannot be repeated. Combining eloquent description with forceful and clear economic analysis, Gordon's voice is gripping and compelling. This is economic history at its best."--Kenneth S. Rogoff, coauthor of This Time Is Different

"The Rise and Fall of American Growth is a tour de force with an immensely important bottom line. It is packed, page after page, with insights and facts that every reader will find fascinating and new. A profound book that also happens to be a marvelous read."--George Akerlof, Nobel Laureate in Economics

"Keynes dismissed concerns about economic trends by remarking that in the long run, we are all dead. Gordon turns this upside down by reminding us that we inherited somebody else's long run. If you care about the legacy we will leave future generations, read this richly detailed account of America's amazing century of growth."--Paul Romer, New York University

"Robert Gordon has written the book on wealth--how Americans made it and enjoyed it in the past. If we're going to create more wealth in the future instead of arguing about dividing a shrinking pie, we have to read and understand this book."--Peter Thiel, entrepreneur, investor, and author of Zero to One

"This book is as important as it is unsettling. Gordon makes a compelling case that the golden age of growth is over. Anyone concerned with our economic future needs to carefully consider his argument."--Lawrence Summers, Harvard University

"In The Rise and Fall of American Growth, Gordon looks at the evolution of consumption and the standard of living in the United States from the end of the Civil War to the present day. His work brims with the enthusiasm of discovery and is enriched by personal anecdotes and insights derived over a long and very productive career."--Alexander J. Field, Santa Clara University

"The Rise and Fall of American Growth makes use of economic history to argue that Americans should expect the rate of economic growth to be, on average, slower in the future than it has been in the recent past. Gordon is the most important exponent of the pessimistic view working today and this is an exceptional book."--Louis Cain, Loyola University Chicago

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Customer Reviews

4.4 out of 5 stars
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Top Customer Reviews

Format: Hardcover Verified Purchase
This was an economics book club choice, and an excellent one at that. Here are my notes:

Overall
I thought that this was a tremendous book. Although its ostensible aim was to chart the declining marginal impact of technology on economic growth, what it mainly documented was the impact of technology in shaping all aspects of modern society. It made me appreciate anew all the technologies that we take for granted, and which make us the richest generation that have ever lived. Although the book was a dense 650 pages I thought that the time invested in reading it was amply rewarded.

Synopsis
In this book Robert J. Gordon aims to show that future economic growth will inevitably be lower than during the golden period between 1870 and 1970, due to the declining marginal return on new technology. He shows how in the period 1870 to 1940 key new inventions in the form of electricity, the internal combustion engine, and modern medicine led to massive changes in society that substantially raised worker participation rates and productivity levels. In the period from 1940 to 1970 there was a substantial increase in productivity that Gordon largely ascribes to the impact of the Second World War via massive capital investment, technological innovations, pent up demand from the Great Depression, and public education (the GI bill). Since 1970 economic growth rates have slowed, despite the ICT revolution, and he expects this trend to continue mainly because no new technologies can hope to transform society in the same way that the discoveries of the past 150 years have done.

Critique
I would highlight some broad themes:
• The effect of technology on society.
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Format: Hardcover
After the Civil War there occurred in America an economic revolution. It tends to be masked in many accounts by the political changes that also took place. So dramatic was the revolution that by 1965 daily life had altered beyond recognition. In addition, life expectancy had significantly improved so that a a newborn child could expect to live to age 72, an increase of 27 years over 1865. This book is based on the view that economic progress is sporadic. At some times it is dramatic at others non existent. Gordon argues that it depends on the inventions available, some are much more crucial than others. In the hundred years after the end of the Civil War there was a cluster of great inventions which were life-changing but, he says, cannot be repeated.

Gordon also argues that since 1970 economic growth has been very impressive but also very disappointing. The paradox is because the major progress has been in the fields of entertainment, communications and information processing, while progress has been slow in repect of clothes, food, transport, health and working conditions. He says the improvement in the American standard of living rests mainly on the history of innovations, he gives details of the main ones. Hence, Gordon's thesis opposes the growth theory that has dominated over the past sixty or so years. In other words, the economy does not, according to him, operate in a 'sready state'. Gordon further argues that the spectacular economic growth witnessed between 1870 and 1970 will not be repeated.in the US. His reasons are intriguing if controversial. In particular, the author warns that future economic progress is threatened by the increase in inequality since 1870.

Two years ago Picketty's book caused waves .
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Format: Hardcover Verified Purchase
Between 1870 and 1940 the lives of the vast majority of Americans had changed to an extent that would have been unimaginable previously. The impact of mechanisation, urbanisation, automation and “networking” – the provision of utilities including water and waste disposal, electricity, the postal service and telephony – freed Americans from much of the drudgery of their previous rural existence, gave them decent houses to live in with sanitary environments, shifted many into jobs which paid better but imposed less wear and tear on their bodies, gave them heat and light on demand thereby increasing the amount of time they had to pursue activities other than work, and enabled them to receive a cornucopia of consumer goods from mail order companies. Houses filled up with refrigerators, washing machines, televisions and other consumer electricals. Eating food was no longer one of the daily hazards they faced.

The years 1940 to 1970 were, if anything, even more spectacular. Wages increased even more as productivity boomed. Highways were built which enabled easy travel from all corners of the nation to all of the others. Driveways filled up with automobiles. Air travel became increasingly accessible to everyone, not just the financial elite. And on long hot humid summer days Americans could take refuge in their air conditioning.

Then, with the exception of a brief spurt between 1996 and 2004, the helter skelter growth slowed to an amble. A rust belt developed in areas previously frenetic with production of steel, cars and other goods. The ICT “revolution”, heralded as the bringer of new industrial and domestic advances on a par with those of electricity and the internal combustion engine, has so far failed to deliver in such a grand manner.
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