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The Killing Zone, Second Edition: How & Why Pilots Die Paperback – 1 Feb 2013

4.3 out of 5 stars 6 customer reviews

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Product details

  • Paperback: 304 pages
  • Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education; 2 edition (1 Feb. 2013)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0071798404
  • ISBN-13: 978-0071798402
  • Product Dimensions: 18.7 x 1.8 x 23.5 cm
  • Average Customer Review: 4.3 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (6 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: 59,284 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
  • See Complete Table of Contents

Product Description

About the Author

Dr. Paul A. Craig, a longtime pilot, flight instructor, aviation educator, and author, designed and conducted the extensive pilot study that uncovered the Killing Zone. Driven by a lifelong concern with the high accident rate among general aviation pilots, Dr. Craig has conducted research projects for universities, the FAA, and NASA that has targeted the problem. Since 2002, he has worked as the principal investigator for NASA projects investigating scenario-based flight training, competency-based flight training, Technically Advanced Aircraft, ADS-B implementation, and teamwork among aviation disciplines. Dr. Craig is an Airline Transport Pilot and Gold Seal Flight Instructor for multiengine, instrument, and seaplane. He has twice been named an FAA District Flight Instructor of the Year. Dr. Craig won the NASA “Turning Goals into Reality” award in 2005 and the Wheatley Award as the nation’s most outstanding aviation educator in 2004. He is a frequent speaker to flight instructors and others on improving flight training and safety. He is the author of Pilot in Command; Be a Better Pilot; Stalls & Spins; Multiengine Flying, 3rd Edition; and Controlling Pilot Error – Situation Awareness and Light Airplane Navigation Essentials.


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Format: Paperback
Unfortunately, Craig repeatedly commits a rather serious statistical error in this book. He uses accident frequency counts, rather than accident rates, as the statistical basis for his conclusions about the range of the "killing zone." Frequency counts are interesting, of course, but they don't account for the number of pilots at each range of flight hours (which accounts for most of the effect he claims). Therefore, they say little about the risk that you yourself face as your flight experience increases. My concern is the nature of that zone, and that we use the right methodologies to explore the issue. You'll have to forgive me for being geeky about this. It's just that it's part of what I do for a well-known agency having to do with aviation (which can't be named, because I'm speaking here as a private citizen).
Statistically, rates aren't interchangeable with frequencies. Rates subtract the effect of how many individuals are present in each "bin" of a frequency distribution (in this case, the y-axis, where the x-axis would be flight hours). In fact, it appears that about 70% of the "zone" may be an artifact, and can be explained just by the fact that the frequency distribution of NON-accident pilots looks nearly identical to the distribution of accident pilots. See my paper http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001457513003242 regarding this.

Bottom line: The kind of analysis we use on data like these is very tricky. That's all I'm saying.
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You must read his ..flying isn't a great activity to learn your lessons the hard way ...learn from this book and other people's mistakes
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Format: Paperback Verified Purchase
Should be obtained ogether with your first pilot license.
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