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Irving John Good

Good Thinking: The Foundations of Probability and Its Applications Paperback – Illustrated, 1 Dec. 1983

by I.J. Good (Author)

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Good Thinking was first published in 1983.Good Thinking is a representative sampling of I. J. Good’s writing on a wide range of questions about the foundations of statistical inference, especially where induction intersects with philosophy. Good believes that clear reasoning about many important practical and philosophical questions is impossible except in terms of probability. This book collects from various published sources 23 of Good’s articles with an emphasis on more philosophical than mathematical.He covers such topics as rational decisions, randomness, operational research, measurement of knowledge, mathematical discovery, artificial intelligence, cognitive psychology, chess, and the nature of probability itself. In spite of the wide variety of topics covered, Good Thinking is based on a unified philosophy which makes it more than the sum of its parts. The papers are organized into five sections: Bayesian Rationality; Probability; Corroboration, Hypothesis Testing, and Simplicity; Information and Surprise; and Causality and Explanation. The numerous references, an extensive index, and a bibliography guide the reader to related modern and historic literature.This collection makes available to a wide audience, for the first time, the most accessible work of a very creative thinker. Philosophers of science, mathematicians, scientists, and, in Good’s words, anyone who wants “to understand understanding, to reason about reasoning, to explain explanation, to think about thought, and to decide how to decide” will find Good Thinking a stimulating and provocative look at probability.

Print length

352 pages
Language

English
Publisher

University of Minnesota Press
Publication date

1 Dec. 1983
Dimensions

14.61 x 2.03 x 22.86 cm
ISBN-10

0816611424
ISBN-13

978-0816611423
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Product description

About the Author

I. J. Good is Distinguished University Professor Emeritus of Statistics at Virginia Tech University. He has written extensively; his books include Probability and the Weighing of Evidence and The Estimation of Probabilities. He is the editor of The Scientist Speculates: An Anthology of Partly Baked Ideas.

Product details

Publisher ‏ : ‎ University of Minnesota Press; Minne ed. edition (1 Dec. 1983)
Language ‏ : ‎ English
Paperback ‏ : ‎ 352 pages
ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 0816611424
ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-0816611423
Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 14.61 x 2.03 x 22.86 cm

Best Sellers Rank: 3,885,047 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- 8,019 in Mathematical Probability & Statistics
- 13,796 in Higher Mathematical Education
- 13,928 in Popular Science Maths

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Dr. David J. Marsay

Good inferencing

Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 25 May 2011

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Essential for anyone interested in inference under uncertainty, the foundations and limitations of probability theories and data and information fusion, their potential pitfalls, and how to recognize when the going is difficult, and some tips on what to do about it.

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