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GDP – A Brief but Affectionate History Hardcover – 28 Jan. 2014
- ISBN-109780691156798
- ISBN-13978-0691156798
- PublisherPrinceton University Press
- Publication date28 Jan. 2014
- LanguageEnglish
- Dimensions15.24 x 1.91 x 22.86 cm
- Print length168 pages
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Product description
Review
From the Inside Flap
"Diane Coyle renders GDP accessible and introduces a much-needed historical perspective to the discourse of what we measure and why. A must-read for those interested in the far-reaching impact of GDP on the global economy, just as we seek ways to go beyond it."--Angel Gurría, secretary-general of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
"Countries are judged by their success in producing GDP. But what is it and where do those numbers reported on television come from? Diane Coyle makes GDP come to life--we see its strengths and its fallibilities, and we learn to understand and respect both."--Mervyn King, governor of the Bank of England, 2003-2013
"This is an engaging and witty but also profoundly important book. Diane Coyle clearly and elegantly explains the fundamental difficulties of GDP--and how this headline figure is liable to radical change by apparently simple changes in method. She also provides a nice treatment of alternative proposals such as happiness surveys."--Harold James, author ofMaking the European Monetary Union
"Well written, interesting, and useful, this book will appeal to many readers. I learned a lot from it."--Robert Hahn, University of Oxford
From the Back Cover
"Diane Coyle renders GDP accessible and introduces a much-needed historical perspective to the discourse of what we measure and why. A must-read for those interested in the far-reaching impact of GDP on the global economy, just as we seek ways to go beyond it."--Angel Gurría, secretary-general of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
"Countries are judged by their success in producing GDP. But what is it and where do those numbers reported on television come from? Diane Coyle makes GDP come to life--we see its strengths and its fallibilities, and we learn to understand and respect both."--Mervyn King, governor of the Bank of England, 2003-2013
"This is an engaging and witty but also profoundly important book. Diane Coyle clearly and elegantly explains the fundamental difficulties of GDP--and how this headline figure is liable to radical change by apparently simple changes in method. She also provides a nice treatment of alternative proposals such as happiness surveys."--Harold James, author of Making the European Monetary Union
"Well written, interesting, and useful, this book will appeal to many readers. I learned a lot from it."--Robert Hahn, University of Oxford
"GDP: A Brief But Affectionate History is a fascinating 140-page book that I cannot recommend highly enough. This is simply the best book on GDP that I've ever seen."--John Mauldin
About the Author
Product details
- ASIN : 0691156794
- Publisher : Princeton University Press (28 Jan. 2014)
- Language : English
- Hardcover : 168 pages
- ISBN-10 : 9780691156798
- ISBN-13 : 978-0691156798
- Dimensions : 15.24 x 1.91 x 22.86 cm
- Best Sellers Rank: 932,773 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- Customer reviews:
About the author

I'm the Bennett Professor of Public Policy at the University of Cambridge (https://www.bennettinstitute.cam.ac.uk/), where we do inter-disciplinary research on the key policy challenges of our times. I have had a number of public service roles, including membership of the Natural Capital Committee, the BBC Trust and the Competition Commission. Previously I ran a consultancy, was economics editor of The Independent, and started out my career working in the UK Treasury. Check out my blog, The Enlightened Economist (http://www.enlightenmenteconomics.com/blog), where I write about economics books and post reviews. My core interest is in technology and how it's changing the economy and society - I've been writing about this since 1997, when we all started noticing the Internet. At the moment I'm working on how to measure better the digitally-transformed economy (how should statisticians measure free digital goods like search and social media? how much is data worth?....), and how governments should update policy for the digital era. My work includes looking at competition in digital markets - I was a member of the Furman Review panel on this subject (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/unlocking-digital-competition-report-of-the-digital-competition-expert-panel). I'm also exploring what it is we mean by progress and how we might measure that instead of GDP.
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A couple of things have to be clarified at the outset: GDP (Gross Domestic Product) which is a particular measure of economic activity that takes place in markets and has prices attached should not be confused with economic well being or social welfare though there is a certain degree of correlation between the two. Also it has to be appreciated that GDP is not a physical entity that has to be measured increasingly more accurately but an abstract human construct.
GDP can be measured in three equivalent ways: We can add up all the output in the economy, all the expenditure in the economy, or all incomes.
Using expenditure as a basis, GDP equals consumer spending plus investment spending plus government spending plus exports less imports (the trade surplus or deficit). But while GDP is conceptually easy, implementing it that is performing all relevant calculations and incorporating all amendments and refinements is fiendishly difficult. And if this were not enough, changes in the nature of the economy and new considerations such as environmental issues increase both the disparity between GDP and well being and welfare and necessitate evolution of the GDP statistic.
GDP was an adequate measure for manufacturing physical products and nation state - based economics of the post - Second World War era. Presently we have an economy dominated by services and intangibles, with much greater variety of products, and closely linked across national boundaries. It is not at all clear that GDP measures well the digital, globalized economy, with its proliferation of zero - price services and matching markets. It certainly does not address the increasingly unequal distribution of growth between different people or groups which we are experiencing since around the 1980s. Finally, GDP does not provide us with an insight on how sustain ably the economy is growing , an ever more important question in the wake of both the Great Financial Crisis and increasing concerns about environment and climate change. So while still using GDP to measure economic activity, it is becoming decreasingly useful as a proxy for either well being and social welfare or sustainability.
Also in the light of the above it is also clear that GDP itself has to evolve though we do not know how. We cannot also tell whether we shall use a single statistic for GDP or a dashboard of statistics to encompass a wider array of parameters to include not only economic growth but also well being, social welfare and sustainability.
1. It was invented to help measure the ability of a state to wage war
2. As such, it's rather good at measuring physical production
3. It's as good as useless at measuring stuff that has no market price
4. It's rather terrible at measuring services
5. It tends to catch up slowly with positive developments that are difficult to quantify
6. It currently understates how well we're doing because we benefit from a number of novel consumer surpluses
7. It overstates the contribution of finance, which affords the authorities an excuse to favor financial institutions
8. Regardless, it's better than the alternatives if you had to sum up in one figure if we're doing better or worse than before
In terms of making these points, the book is a triumph. But it's not "engaging and witty" as it says on the cover.
And it is not in the least technical. The most complicated equation in here is the good, old AD=C+I+G+(x-m). I was kind of hoping to find out about annualizing quarterly GDP or the effect of a surprise in April inputs versus a surprise in June inputs on Q2 numbers. Or a worked example of how to build it for one quarter. Or a comparison of its composition through history. Dunno, something about how agriculture is no longer as important as it once was. Or a comparison between G7 countries and developing countries. You won't find any of that here. The only technical discussion (without the math) is about converting Chinese GDP into western-equivalent GDP via PPP and its alternatives.
It's really for the layman, basically, except I'm not 100% sure that it's simple enough for the layman.
That said, it kept me good company in the tube and it opens the discussion with an anecdote from my country, so I'll award it 4 stars.
The wonders of social media mean that during my reading of this book when i had a question the author was kind enough to respond to my tweets, so for that interaction alone this was going to get 5 stars.
But even if i had been roundly ignored it would still be worth the purchase.
I have always been interested in just what GDP is, a phrase you hear banned about all the time, and the clarity this book gives as to what it actually means and more importantly how other government policies are manipulated to manipulate it is fascinating.
In particular was the revelation about stay at home parents v putting kids to a sitter.
A parent staying at home does not grow the GDP figure but a Sitter does, even though the same job is being done.
the History of how GDP was just about what you produced, but how it got wrapped up in Government services and War production is also brilliantly informative.
Other highlights are:
"as so often in life the roots of failure lay in the nature of success"
"GDP has never measured service-sector activity well, and services have been growing constantly as a proportion of what we spend our money on. Equally GDP has never captured the most striking and important characteristic of modern capitalism, namely that it is an "innovation machine"
"you can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity figures"
"humans excel at wasting time, experimenting,playing,creating and exploring. None of these fare well under the scrutiny of productivity. That is why science and art are so hard to fund. But they are also the foundation of long term growth"
Buy this book, it will open up the vox pops of journolists and politician to you...it will also increase GDP .....I think?
Top reviews from other countries
The most important parameter of economic progress and wealth creation is the unemployment rate - especially long term unemployment . In America this figure is reaching historic highs which suggests that the government is on the wrong course.
The book should be compulsory reading for all politicians.

