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Brexit: Why Britain Voted to Leave the European Union Paperback – 20 Apr 2017
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'It would be hard to come up with a better line-up of analysts to dig into both the long- and short-term drivers of Britain's decision to leave the EU. Whether you're a Leaver or a Remainer, the vote for Brexit needs explaining - and this is just the book to do it.' Tim Bale, Queen Mary University of London and author of The Conservative Party from Thatcher to Cameron
'Do not read Brexit - unless you want truth rather than propaganda, objectivity rather than bias and evidence rather than prejudice. Harold D. Clarke, Matthew Goodwin and Paul F. Whiteley have written a book that will still be standing when the post-truth claims of those on both sides of the referendum have rightly crumbled to dust.' Peter Kellner, former President of YouGov
'Clarke, Goodwin and Whiteley have written what is sure to be a standard reference on Brexit. A wonderfully written history of the rise of the UKIP and the Brexit referendum lead to a diverse array of empirical analyses: a survey of UKIP members, longitudinal national surveys and pre-post referendum surveys. Instead of simple explanations, they show the variety of diverse factors that produced the final referendum outcome and discuss the implications for British politics going forward.' Russell J. Dalton, University of California, Irvine
'An empirically rich and insightful analysis of the dynamics of the Brexit vote. Essential reading for understanding the social and political forces underlying one of the most important and consequential electoral decisions of our times.' Lawrence LeDuc, Professor Emeritus, University of Toronto
'Brexit: Why Britain Voted to Leave the European Union isn't a book of opinions about why the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union but a close look at what the statistics tell us. It's an … informative read.' Sue Magee, The Bookbag (www.thebookbag.co.uk)
'The British public does not have a settled view on Europe. … The authors conclude that the British are not unusually racist among Europeans … The British appear easily swayed.' Danny Dorling, The Times Higher Education
A comprehensive, authoritative study by leading experts showing why the United Kingdom voted for Brexit in the referendum of June 2016, based on a wealth of survey evidence conducted over more than ten years which tells the full story of why the vote turned out the way it did.See all Product description
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I also found the author's analysis of the likely consequences. Here again they are looking at statistical information, including a Cambridge study which suggests that the economic benefits of EU membership, not just for the UK but for other member states, are not as great as has been implied. They also cast doubt on the reliability of the Treasury model which predicted doom & disaster and fuelled George Osborne's warning of an emergency budget in the event of a leave vote. The upshot is that the authors suggest that the negative effects of Brexit have been over-stated. Another interesting issue emerges in that the authors indicate that the views of British voters to immigration are not dissimilar to those of voters across the EU - we are far from the being exceptional in attitudes towards immigration. Survey evidence from Europe shows that support for further integration fell between 2004 and 2014.
The book was written before the 2017 general election but it does indicate that among the wider public there was no sign of Brexit remorse nor any appetite for a second referendum and there is little to suggest that has changed.
However, in pointing out Remain's biggest arguments and campaign decisions (such as the warnings from the elite and the rolling out of politicians, celebrities, scholars [especially economists]) to warn the public of leaving, it seems to suggest that the warnings were overstated as part of 'project Fear', only to later admit in the final chapter that the full impact of Brexit will not be known for several years, presenting a clear contradiction in the thesis. It seems also to spend little time breaking-down the false claims made by both Leave campaigns (£350 a week to the EU comes to mind), of which many have now been debunked, even by Leave-leaders themselves.
In its presentation of emigration and immigration to the UK, it does not seem to make clear if that data contains International Students on 'limited leave to remain' in the UK for study purposes (as Theresa May has done by including Int. Students in the Net immigration figures for the UK). This is false is since international students are obligated to leave the UK after their studies.
WARNING: This book contains a large number mathematical data sets and is therefore not a narrative of Brexit;