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Boom Bust: House Prices, Banking and the Depression of 2010 Paperback – 1 Dec 2007

4.1 out of 5 stars 17 customer reviews

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Product details

  • Paperback: 288 pages
  • Publisher: Shepheard-Walwyn (Publishers) Ltd; 2Rev Ed edition (1 Dec. 2007)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0856832545
  • ISBN-13: 978-0856832543
  • Product Dimensions: 15.2 x 2.3 x 22.2 cm
  • Average Customer Review: 4.1 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (17 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: 352,822 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Product Description

Review

"Fascinating insights into cycles, property and rents." --"Institute of Economic Affairs"

"For anyone seeking to understand the vagaries of the housing market, this is a fascinating read." --"Sunday Telegraph"

"Harrison's book is a formidable challenge to the apologists of the status quo." --"American Journal of Economics and Sociology"

"[Harrison] does make a case for the existence of an 18-year business cycle, which he links to speculation in the property market." --"Financial Times"

"As the frantic property market of last spring slumps into its current nervous state with falling prices, is it by chance that this crystal ball-gazing--so far--seems to be uncannily accurate, or does Harrison really know something we don't?" --"The Mail on Sunday"

"Does Harrison""really know something we don't?" "--The Mail on Sunday"

"The essence of its argument is that the majority of current property prices reflect land value rather than building costs." "--Professional Investor"

"There are some fascinating insights into cycles, property and rents." --John Calverley, chief economist, American Express Bank

Review

'[Harrison] does make a case for the existence of an 18-year business cycle, which he links to speculation in the property market'

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Customer Reviews

Top Customer Reviews

Format: Paperback
I found the predictions contained in this book to be uncannily correct and even a bit frightening. Fred Harrison proves the existence of an 18 year business cycle which coincides with the boom bust phenomenon that sweeps the global markets. With startling accuracy Harrison shows us that this has been happening for centuries and our governments are completely impotent. In the final chapter Harrison puts forward his own solution to the boom bust cycle which would no doubt raise a few eyebrows, but maybe we need boldness in the face of adversity. Economists and politicians take note !!
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Format: Paperback Verified Purchase
I read this book in early 2006 - Hardcover. In hindsight, it is a horoscope for our future financial wellbeing. It predicted the banking crisis, the fall of banks and corporations previously perceived as too big to fail, with great insight and accuracy.
It is well written with easy chunks that allow the following of threads, historical references, and explainations of financial terms.

Read this now and protect your future wealth.
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Format: Paperback
Can't believe this book was written in 2005, it's all come true - why did Fred Harrison know what was going to happen and our Government didn't? or did they...?
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Format: Paperback
A very interesting read. I purchased this book in mid 2006 and so far everything that was predicted has come true. According to Harrison we are in for two tough years in the property market. 2008 and 2009 will see a downturn, however, come 2010 the market will once again turn. Currently I would love to move into a larger house but believe you me until January 2010 I'm staying put.
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Format: Paperback
I read this book 6 months ago, and in the past few months have started to see signs that suggest the author is correct in his suppositions. An essential read for anyone considering buying a property in 2007-2008.
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Format: Hardcover
With UK house prices now crashing and many experts now foreseeing falls of up to 40% it looks like Fred Harrison is spot on with his predictions so far. He seems to be one of the few who have got the timing of the bubble bursting just right.
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Format: Paperback
I started Fred Harrison's books by reading The Inquest, followed by this book (Boom Bust) and have bought The Traumatised Society which I have skimmed through, although I think that I have suffered enough by now, not to put myself through reading that.

I give all his books a 1 star because of the writing style used throughout. This book is 90% Waffling and never gives any answers to the problems it highlights. I feel angry and robbed of the time I wasted reading these books. Hundreds of pages dedicated to a merry-go round of criticising bankers and politicians, rather than briefly highlighting the problems and then clearly and concisely describing the solution. Much of the English used is pretentious and strange. I am no fool as I have a Masters in Econometrics and Bachelors in Surveying, but the language used is really stodgy and makes for a frustrating reading experience.

With difficulty, it seems that Mr. Harrison is suggesting that all problems of low growth and inequality have land speculation as their root cause. That there is an 18 year property cycle which can be predicted fairly accurately, and that the solution is a Land Value Tax. This may all be true and I respect Mr. Harrison for his research, but he never explains clearly how a Land Value Tax will be implemented. The majority of all these books is spent wailing about how ignorant Gordon Brown, Alan Greenspan and other bureaucrats/politicians are. That's fine as an introduction but totally pointless as the central theme of a book - most people know how ignorant these people are already.

You can understand more about the implications of a Land Value Tax and the 18-year cycle by googling press articles about them, and I recommend "The Real Crash" by Peter Schiff or "Paper Money Collapse" if you want to read any relevant and fascinating books on the subject of the Western economic malaise.
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Format: Hardcover
As a prominent proponent of the Land Value Tax it is intriguing to find that Fred Harrison comes down on the side of both private ownership and economic growth. For him the value of the land is essentially as a material resource and this distinction forms the basis of his thorough analysis of the housing market in the context of a modern capitalist economy. Alan Greenspan and Gordon Brown are criticised for their failure to acknowledge the effect of land speculation on modern predicitve methods. For all his detailed analysis of the cyclical trends of boom and bust he nevertheless maintains that economics is not an exact science.
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