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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Paperback – 28 Feb 2008

3.6 out of 5 stars 361 customer reviews

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  • Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
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  • Antifragile: Things that Gain from Disorder
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Product details

  • Paperback: 394 pages
  • Publisher: Penguin; 53 edition (28 Feb. 2008)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0141034599
  • ISBN-13: 978-0141034591
  • Product Dimensions: 19.6 x 12.7 x 3 cm
  • Average Customer Review: 3.6 out of 5 stars 361 customer reviews
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: 5,812 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
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Product description

Review

Great fun … brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling (Freakonomics)

An idiosyncratically brilliant new book (Sunday Telegraph)

A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected (Guardian)

Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling (Financial Times)

Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot (Sunday Times)

In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point (Time)

Synopsis

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

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361 customer reviews

3.6 out of 5 stars

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4 September 2016
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