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11 of 11 people found the following review helpful
3.0 out of 5 stars Bayes without the mathematics is Hamlet without the prince, 11 Dec. 2012
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This review is from: The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from (Paperback)
I have to agree with the other reviewers who were disappointed by the lack of mathematics in this book. To borrow an old cliche, Bayes without the mathematics is Hamlet without the prince. It is certainly interesting to read about the academic squabbles, the logical breakthroughs, the military applications, and so on; but I want to know HOW (for instance) Turing used Bayes to decode Enigma, not merely THAT he used Bayes. I wonder just how many readers would pick up the book if they didn't already have some understanding of what Bayes was about; but if McGrayne were worried about the ability of her readers to follow a mathematical explanation then all she needed to do was relegate the detailed explanations to appendices. She deserves credit for the appendix on mammograms and breast cancer, which is admirably simple, but as far as I can see that is the only point at which even the algebraic statement of the familiar theorem appears.

I first came across the Bayesian approach to statistics as a graduate student in 1970 (thanks to Tribus' "Rational Descriptions, Decisions and Designs" - pity he didn't get a name check from McGrayne) and, like Saul on the road to Damascus, I underwent something like a religious conversion. Unlike St Paul, I never suffered any persecution in consequence, but it is good to see that what seemed to me at the time a fringe religion has now achieved something approaching statistical orthodoxy. For that reassurance, I thank Ms McGrayne.
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