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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars fascinating!, 17 Nov. 2010
This review is from: The Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future (Paperback)
I highly recommend this book. I initially took an interest in this book after reading the review of it last year in Foreign Policy. My undergrad degree is in maths, and I'm working on a post-grad degree in International Relations, so it was fascinating to read a book that combined both topics. I had known that game theory was a unique way to combine the precision of mathematics with the anarchy of international politics, but this book put a complicated topic into layman's terms and I was mesmerized. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has an outstanding accuracy rate of 90% in predicting the outcome of world events and the very fact that he was able to predict the end of the Cold War using only information available in 1948 was a triumph for the classical realist approach to International Relations theory. Again, I HIGHLY recommend this book! You don't have to like math to enjoy it. I promise!
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1 of 2 people found the following review helpful
4.0 out of 5 stars Predicting the future through game theory, 29 April 2011
By 
Rolf Dobelli "getAbstract" (Switzerland) - See all my reviews
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Game theorist Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has a successful record of applying game theory to predicting the outcome of critical foreign policy issues. Among his other accomplishments, the author achieved a 90% accuracy rate in forecasts for the U.S. government, often about the future direction of other countries. In this book, he applies game-theory analyses to complex questions about such public policy issues as the development of nuclear weapons in North Korea, the potential for Iraq to ally with Iran, and the risk of a major war between Israelis and Palestinians. To illustrate the numerical framework of games, Bueno de Mesquita also features examples that model mundane behavior, such as shopping for cars or choosing which movie to watch. Though the book is thick with passages that focus on foreign policy, getAbstract nonetheless recommends it to executives who want to learn how experts use game theory to predict and engineer the future.
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The Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future
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