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Richard Jones

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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
Price: £4.68

0 of 2 people found the following review helpful
4.0 out of 5 stars Caution: tread carefully, drill down, check validity of decision tools...., 9 Dec. 2013
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A good analysis of the value and the misinformation in statistical analyses...
I read quality newspapers but am mortified how often they faithfully publish numerical rubbish, typically mistaking billions and millions...
That is the tip of the iceberg of the problems with the junk fed to the general public.
Because so many of the professionals are applying the wrong tools to the wrong samples and using the wrong assumptions about causal links and behaviour...
But having invested their life in a "skill set" you'd have to push it??


When the Money Runs Out
When the Money Runs Out
Price: £8.54

4.0 out of 5 stars Adjusting expectations, 9 Dec. 2013
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Maybe never ending increases in economic prosperity are a good thing...
But it leads to democratic governments seducing voters with their eventually unaffordable largesse...
And those expectations are very hard to adjust...
The transition is going to be painful for the entire developed western world...
It will involve the overthrow of governments and bankruptcy of countries...
But which ones and when?
Can democratic governments retain power long enough to enact those changes or does effective or turbulent change transition the structures over several generations?
Persuasive analysis of the fault lines but quite reasonably only broad sweep generalisations about the future..
However that's the environment in which we have to place our bets about what to be invested in, where to live, etc!!


A Guide to the Good Life: The Ancient Art of Stoic Joy
A Guide to the Good Life: The Ancient Art of Stoic Joy
Price: £7.18

1 of 4 people found the following review helpful
4.0 out of 5 stars Sage...., 9 Dec. 2013
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Today's failure to deliver happiness through economic prosperity must be addressed....
The world is wealthier but the people aren't happier...
Are you?


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