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The Long Boom: A Future History of the World, 1980-2020
 
 

The Long Boom: A Future History of the World, 1980-2020 (Paperback)

by Peter Schwartz (Author), Peter Leyden (Author), Joel Hyatt (Author) "THE SINGLE MOST IMPORTANT EVENT to fall on the 1980 dateline was the introduction of the personal computer ..." (more)
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Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence

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Product details

  • Paperback: 288 pages
  • Publisher: Texere Publishing,US; New edition edition (30 Dec 2000)
  • Language English
  • ISBN-10: 1587990407
  • ISBN-13: 978-1587990403
  • Product Dimensions: 21 x 13.8 x 2.6 cm
  • Average Customer Review: 4.0 out of 5 stars See all reviews (3 customer reviews)
  • Amazon.co.uk Sales Rank: 332,318 in Books (See Bestsellers in Books)

    Popular in these categories:

    #35 in  Books > Business, Finance & Law > Economics > Forecasting
    #35 in  Books > Business, Finance & Law > Professional Finance > Forecasting
  • See Complete Table of Contents

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Product Description

Amazon.co.uk Review
Thanks to various technological, fiscal and political revolutions that reshaped our world over the past two decades, some observers believe the new millennium will offer opportunities for economic expansion that rival any previously recorded. The Long Boom is a fascinating attempt to pin down this potential upsurge by combining a shrewd examination of where we've been headed for the last 20 years with a plausible forecast of where, with a bit of good fortune and tenacity, we might be going during the next 20. Moreover, its unique mixture of germane facts and figures with supportable projections and original storytelling techniques--most notably a letter to friends sent once a decade by a fictional observer born in 1960--make it as readable as it is provocative.

Originating as an article in Wired magazine, the optimistic scenario envisioned by authors Peter Schwartz (chairman of a think tank/consulting firm), Peter Leyden (a technology, economics and political journalist) and Joel Hyatt (a Stanford entrepreneurship professor who co-founded the legal services firm bearing his name) integrates existing and potential technological advancements, financial developments, political upheavals and social movements. Among its predictions are formulation of a "glass pipeline" that seamlessly tracks manufacturing and production processes, creation of a volunteer Global Corps to aid developing nations, the dawning of a true Space Age, and birth of a unified worldwide society with "well-off people who share certain values that are transcending borders." The account is highly recommended for everyone concerned with, yet hopeful about, the future. --Howard Rothman, Amazon.com --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

Review
Michael E. Porter, Professor, Harvard Business School The Long Boom is not only a perceptive commentary on the economic changes of the past two decades, but distils the essential elements needed for sustained global prosperity. The book will help us all interpret the significance of unfolding events and chart a course for policy makers. It is scenario planning at its best - revealing, holistic and provocative. Robert D. Hormats, Vice Chairman, Goldman Sachs The Long Boom provides a compelling and optimistic vision of the world's future. It is a brilliant and fresh commentary on the prosperous future that is ours to shape as we enter the new millennium.

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5.0 out of 5 stars Are We Equal to the Challenge?, 10 Feb 2006
By Robert Morris (Dallas, Texas) - See all my reviews
(TOP 100 REVIEWER)    (REAL NAME)   
This review is from: The Long Boom (Hardcover)
Those who have already read The Art of the Long View no doubt share my high regard for the vision, precision, and eloquence which Peter Schwartz brings to subjects of special interest to him. They are once again in evidence (indeed in abundance) in this book which he co-authored with Peter Leyden and Joel Hyatt. Theirs is a shared vision of "the coming age of prosperity." What exactly does that mean? The answer is suggested in the Introduction: "The Long Boom is a positive meme about a better future. A meme is a contagious idea that can quickly spread around the world and influence what people think and do....The idea soon takes on a life of its own, out of anybody's control, flitting from computer host to computer host in an exponential expansion that spreads around the world....[The book] starts with the recognition that the world is faced with a historic opportunity. What we call the Long Boom -- the years from 1980 to 2020 --is a period of global transformation. No other age ever possessed the tools or the knowledge to do what we can do today." From the authors' perspective, what they call the Long Boom is half in the past and half in the future. "We refer to the Long Boom in both senses throughout the book."

There are four Parts followed by an Afterword.

Part I Track the Inevitable (ie major developments in technology, economics and politics)

Part II The Politics of the Long Boom (ie how to overcome "looming political problems")

Part III The Engines of the Twenty-First Century (ie technologies which can help to preserve the environment)

Part IV Birth of a Global Civilization (ie creation of a new middle class amidst fundamental global changes)

In the forward-thinking Afterword, the authors reaffirm their faith in the almost unlimited potentialities of the Long Boom IF the human race can somehow avoid committing planetary suicide. They are emphatically NOT misty-eyed visionaries; on the contrary, they seem most comfortable when addressing harsh realities such as territorial "politics" which, if permitted, can result in the Long Whimper. Among their objectives is to provide "a starting point for an ongoing global conversation about how everyone can take advantage of the great potential of our era and create a better world." The observations shared are anchored in the real-world; the suggestions offered are practical and do-able. If for whatever reasons the human race is unwilling and/or unable to fulfill the promise of the Long Boom, who to blame? According to Pogo, "We have met the enemy and he is us." Schwartz, Leyden & Hyatt would perhaps reply, "OK but so what? There's still time. There's still hope. We have everything we need. Let's work together on a global basis. It won't be easy but we can do it. We really can."

How? This brilliant book answers that question. Better yet, it explains why.

Those whose minds and hearts are nourished by this book should also check out Natural Capitalism (Hawken, Lovins & Lovins) and Holding On to Reality (Borgmann) which address many of the same issues but from somewhat different perspectives.

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5.0 out of 5 stars An important, accessible book., 9 Jan 2000
By A Customer
This book is an overview of the political, economic and technological world in which we in the First World live now, and in which we in all of our worlds can live in the future.

It isn't "futurology", it isn't difficult, it isn't a political treatise. It is common sense for mankind.

It is global, and if you are reading a review at Amazon YOU are global! Don't underestimate your importance, your influence, your being present and interactive at this potentially pivotal time.

Buy this book, read it, and then buy further copies to send to your old school library! Take part in spreading the book's inspirational message.

I really believe it is the "bedside book" for 2000 whether you are a Peer of The Realm or a member of Greenpeace, and eco-warrior or a property developer.

Get your hands on a copy urgently: to borrow a couple of ad phrases, "Be Inspired", "We Have The Technology" - just read this book for the sake of the World.

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0 of 2 people found the following review helpful:
2.0 out of 5 stars An easy read, very upbeat but, 2 Jan 2000
The different technology's explored in The Long Boom that will begin to mature as we move into the 21st century are very interesting and, I believe, essentially correct. The biggest shortcoming of the book is the author's constant reference to solving global warming, A PROBLEM THAT DOES NOT EXIST. Time and again the author's reference this topic and it distracts from the upbeat, visionary, look into the future.
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