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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful:
3.0 out of 5 stars
Long of optimism, short of documentation, 12 April 1999
By A Customer
If you are a bull, the Harry Dent's book is the one you want to read. If you are looking for facts to support the many conclusions he draws, then you should probably look somewhere else. I found a number of the theories Dent advances to be fascinating, and it has even caused me to rethink some of thoughts I have in relation to my own work. And I am happy to have this book to put into my personal library. But..... I was surprised by the complete lack of footnotes or other documentation to support some of the assertions made. In a book that uses, and needs to use, so many statistics and charts to support its claims I found that a little disconcerting. For example: Dent describes a "500 year cycle of change" (starting page 93) as if for millenia every 500 years there have been huge changes, but he fails to ever goe back further than 500 years to show a true cycle. This makes his parallel between movable type and the transistor strained at best. From page 171: "The fact is, DNA research has shown that 70 percent of the population has a risk averse gene." Excuse me, whose research? What makes this a fact? Is that the same research that found the meteorite on Antartica and determined it had come from Mars 60,000 years ago? These are just two examples of the many I could use to illustrate my points. Don't get me wrong. I enjoyed reading this book and I would read it again. Dent has analyzed population trends, the Internet, and history in a way no others (that I've read) has. The calls he has made have been for the long term and he has also predicted both bull and bear cycles. I just wish he had made it easier for me to believe him.
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