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The Skeptical Environmentalist
 
 

The Skeptical Environmentalist (Paperback)

by Bjørn Lomborg (Author) "What kind of state is the world really in? ..." (more)
3.6 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (59 customer reviews)
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Amazon.co.uk Review

According to The Skeptical Environmentalist the hole in the Ozone Layer is healing. The Amazon has shrunk by only 14 per cent since the arrival of Man. Only 0.7 per cent of species will be driven to extinction over the next 50 years. Even the poorest humans are getting richer by the year. Things are not good enough; but they are far, far better than we have been taught to believe. Lomborg, a professor of statistics and a former Greenpeace member, reveals the complexity, confusion, and (rarely) misuse of data behind the current Litany of approaching environmental Armageddon. But this is not a comforting or reassuring read. Nor is it a bible for lackeys and do-nothings. Lomborg uses the same figures everyone else uses, from national governments to the Kyoto summit to Greenpeace. Rarely have the raw data been discussed in such detail: their history, how they are calculated, their strengths, and their weaknesses. Lomborg argues persuasively that our sense of approaching human and environmental disaster is an artefact of the valid work of modern scientific, environmental and media institutions. There is, he asserts, no one to blame for our growing sense of despair, but everything to learn. We must learn what real risks are, and what we can do about them. (Kyoto? A very bad idea...) We must prioritise. (30p on the organic basil? Or 30p to buy a child clean water in Sierra Leone?) There is, after all, room for manoeuvre; panic achieves nothing. This is our generation's Silent Spring: a book to rewrite the environmental agenda, and a must-buy for any parent who wonders what kind of world we are leaving for our children.--Simon Ings


Review

‘This is one of the most valuable books on public policy - not merely on environmental policy - to have been written for the intelligent reader in the past ten years … The Skeptical Environmentalist is a triumph.’ The Economist ‘… a superbly documented and readable book.’ Wall Street Journal

‘The Skeptical Environmentalist should be read by every environmentalist, so that the appalling errors of fact the environmental movement has made in the past are not repeated. A brilliant and powerful book.’ Matt Ridley, author of Genome ‘The Skeptical Environmentalist is perhaps the most important book about the environment since Rachel Carson’s Silent Spring (1962) awakened the world to the dangers of unrestrained economic growth.’ Jason Cowley, New Statesman '… this book deserves an open minded read by anyone in the least bit interested in the environment.' The Local Planet

‘Bjorn Lomborg is an outstanding representative of the ‘new breed’ of political scientists - mathematically-skilled and computer-adept. In this book he shows himself also to be a hard-headed, empirically-oriented analyst. Surveying a vast amount of data and taking account of a wide range of more and less informed opinion about environmental threats facing the planet, he comes to a balanced assessment of which ones are real and which over-hyped. In vigorous informal style, he indicates what needs to be done to address the real environmental hazards - and what needs not to be done about those turning out to be pseudo-problems.’ Jack Hirshleifer, University of California, Los Angeles

‘A new book is about to overturn our most basic assumptions about the world’s environment. Far from going to hell in a handcart, it is improving by almost all measures. Those things not getting better are getting worse at a slower rate.’ Anthony Browne, Environment Correspondent, Observer ‘Lomborg‘s challenge will have to be met … he has given an important challenge to the scientific establishment that is not only good for science, but damned necessary to it.‘ Fortean Times

‘When Lomborg concludes that ‘… the loss of the world’s rainforests, of fertile agricultural land, the ozone layer and of the climate balance are terrible …’ I agree. But we also need debate, and this book provides us with that in generous amounts. If you, like I do, belong to the people who dare to think the world is making some progress, but always with mistakes to be corrected, this book makes important reading.’ Professor Lars Kristoferson, Secretary General, WWF Sweden

‘Lomborg’s book has drawn considerable attention. Although it may cause problems for the more militant and political environmentalists, it should be welcomed by anyone genuinely concerned about the environment. … Lomborg’s book sheds needed light on the real state of the world. I recommend it to anyone interested in our global environment … The Skeptical Environmentalist is the most valuable book available in many years on public policy in general, not only environmental policy in particular. It should be required reading for all legislators, government bureaucrats and corporate executives who preside over the ever-increasing array of environmental regulations and politics. John P. Bluemle, Geotimes

‘Whatever your standpoint, The Skeptical Environmentalist will make indispensable reading.’ Mail on Sunday ‘A brilliant book … All in all, this is a must-have/must read book. Don't take my word for it. Check it out for yourself.’ Clean Technologies & Environmental Policy

‘… his book is the Christmas present for a rational future.’ The Chemical Engineer ‘… it should be welcome by anyone genuinely concerned about the environment.’ Environmental Geology

‘The Skeptical Environmentalist marks a critical environmental moment … We can forget those dreary old idols: Paul Ehrlich, Lester Brown with his Worldwatch Institute, Greenpeace and all the others. They have been exiled into the darkness. Eco-optimism can begin to rise over the Earth. After Lomborg, the environmental movement will begin to wither.’ National Post ‘Bjorn Lomborg’s book is hugely beneficial for a debate that has been one-sided.’ The Financial Times ' … it is large and full of facts … this book deserves an open minded read by everyone in the least bit interested in the environment … Please read this mind-expanding book …' The Local Planet

‘It’s a magnificent achievement.’ Washington Post Book World '… reading it was a valuable experience since it forced me to reconsider the foundations of my own opinions.' Journal of Antarctic Science ‘With relentless precision, the author … dispatches many of the misrepresentations about the environment that are propounded with monotonous regularity by so called ‘non-government organisations … Every politician at every level of all the world’s governments should read it carefully. So should scientists, bureaucrats and academics whose jobs are even remotely related to environmental matters.’ Asia Pacific Shipping

‘… think of The Skeptical Environmentalist as a young geek’s answer to Al Gore’s Earth in the Balance … Lomborg pulls off the remarkable feat of welding the techno-optimism of the Internet age with a lefty’s concern for the fate of the planet.’ Rolling Stone ‘… the most controversial science book of 2001 … The thesis has been angrily disputed by some scientists and endorsed by others, but the book is thought-provoking essential reading for those who wish to keep pace with all sides of environmental thinking.’ The Times Christmas Books round-up

‘The index is possibly the most thorough you are likely to see … It should be required reading in second-level education.’ Wild Ireland ‘The Lomborg affair merits attention not because of its robust criticisms, character assassination and pressure politics -these are nothing new - but because its extremeness could mark a watershed in how science relates to policy and politics.’ Nature 'As an example of writing across multiple disciplines, this book is a tour de force.' Geographical Journal

‘Do read The Skeptical Environmentalist … There will be something you agree with, and something that makes you bite the carpet. That’s money well spent these days.’ Alex Kirby, environmental correspondent of BBC News Online ‘Lomberg’s book sheds needed light on the real state of the world. I recommend it to anyone interested in our global environment … the book is a credible attempt at refuting many of the more outrageous environmentalist claims – a point of view that is seldom heard. The Skeptical Environmentalist is the most valuable book available in many years on public policy in general, not only environmental policy in particular. It should be required reading for all legislators, government bureaucrats and corporate executives who preside over the ever-increasing array of environmental regulations and policies.’ Geotimes

‘Lomborg’s argument is of great potential importance to peace research.’ Journal of Peace Research ‘Number five, of ten of the most fascinating books published recently. Hugely controversial.’ Sunday People ‘Lomborg’s message is one that the public deserves to hear … he makes his case calmly and transparently … Lomborg’s unruffled earnestness is admirable, and he is a wonderful witness for the prosecution.’ The Weekly Standard

‘… he has written probably the most comprehensive, up-to-date and provocative contribution to environmental optimism so far …’. Times Higher Education Supplement ‘… his book is marvellously referenced, providing many details with a comprehensive list of sources of data.’ Times Higher Education Supplement ‘An absolute must read.’ Choice ‘… unique in its scope as well as the depth to which he plumbs the issues …It is also a book that should be read by would-be adversaries to his position as much as by policy students and practitioners alike.’ Prometheus '… for the student and academic interested in the environmental issues I have no hesitation in recommending the book as an example of an alternative viewpoint.' Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics ' … unique in its scope as well as the depth to which he plumbs the issues … It is also a book that should be read by would-be adversaries to his position as much as by policy students and practitioners alike.' Prometheus

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Customer Reviews

59 Reviews
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Average Customer Review
3.6 out of 5 stars (59 customer reviews)
 
 
 
 
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56 of 60 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Right or wrong, this is a hugely significant book, 10 Mar 2002
By A Customer
Apparently, 83% of people will not make any effort to think critically about a statistic which supports something they already believe*. This is a problem for any debate that revolves around statistics, as any GLOBAL assessment of human impact on the environment must do - nobody can personally visit the entire planet to decide whether the mess humans can make locally is becoming a significant systemic hazard.

Lomberg's thesis is that a lot of what he terms "the Litany" - a view that humans are steadily sending the global environment to hell in a handcart and things will get catastrophically bad some time soon -is based on very shoddy use of the available data. He provides numerous cases of misleading conclusions that have reached the public. He does not claim that all is well, just that an accurate picture of what is going on is needed if we are to make the correct decisions about how much to do to reduce human impact on the globe. And that the current picture is not accurate.

I give this book 5 stars because having read it you will have to think hard about what you believe to be the truth and what kind of evidence would convince you (and why). This critical thought is something easily avoided on an issue where ready-made opinions are handed down by lobbyists of both camps. Personally I find it convincing that many environmentalists are guilty as charged of allowing their own preconceptions of what is happening to influence how they handle the available data. If this book leads to a higher standard of debate, great.

I agree with another reviewer that it is fascinating how the negative reviews of this book seem to concentrate on "Lomberg is a heretic" - a profoundly unscientific (and revealing?) reaction to what you'd suppose is a scientific debate.

The book is structured nicely into summaries (if you're one of the 83% who don't question) and much detailed argument if you're in the remaining 17% (and it looks as if more of us should be)

* One final note : I made that "83%" figure up as a joke when discussing this book with friends, to see if they'd challenge that "statistic" (no-one has yet). But creepily enough, having bandied this entirely bogus figure about a few times I almost begin to believe in it. It seems to be taking on a life of its own. It can only be a matter of time before I see it on the web...

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50 of 54 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars For those with an Open Mind, 16 May 2004
By Mike Swain (Cambridge) - See all my reviews
This is an ambitious and controversial book. If you read the reviews, you will notice that they fall largely into two camps: love it or hate it. Some support what Lomborg calls The Litany, the currently accepted (or fashionable, depending on your position) view that the world's environment is in inexorable decline. They reason that the 'experts' cannot all be wrong and, for reasons which I don't have enough psychology to understand fully, some are attracted to the concept that man is a voracious beast that will not rest until he has defiled the Earth totally. Others, will be convinced by the data and the argument, and find the experience enlightening and empowering. The question that was uppermost in my mind is, is the data reliable? For if it is, then Lomborg's arguments are difficult to fault.

When the book was first published (1998 in Danish, 2001 in English). There were many people with a strong vested interest in faulting those arguments. They were given the opportunity in major magazines and scientific journals and, so far as I have been able to track down, failed comprehensively to do so. For example, Scientific American, in an extremely unscientific exercise, let four of Lomborg's strongest critics off the leash in an eleven page review. The arguments that Lomborg uses are not difficult, nor is the data obscure. If he had made major mistakes in any of his many assertions that contradict the orthodoxy, it would have been easy to expose them. But his critics concentrated instead on attacking the man and on nibbling around the edges of the considerable body of data which he had assembled. They found a few minor errors, since put right, and sometimes revealed their own lack of understanding. But they didn't disturb the central arguments. It is worth reading the original Scientific American review and Lomborg's rebuttal, which are available on the web. I found they gave confidence in the integrity of the book but left me a little depressed about the state of science. Incidentally, the years since publication have provided nothing to shake the book's conclusions.

As a Professor of Statistics, Lomborg was criticised for entering the environmental arena, and covering areas of science in which he was not qualified. However, this book is about the interpretation of data much more than about science per see. I think he is ideally qualified for the task he has chosen and, coming as he does with a 'green' background, his credibility is higher than that of many of his critics. Many of them have a strong personal stake - economic or emotional - in the answers which make re-evaluating their positions especially difficult. Lomborg does not examine the scientific judgements in, for example, climate models. But he does question the public policy interpretation of the results and add a measure of economic good sense. Moreover, it should be no surprise that environmental organisations, governmental agencies and scientific institutions are just as capable as big business of becoming wedded to a particular stance, and selecting or interpreting the data to suit. Some of them come out of this with little credit, and no credible excuses.

I understand why Lomborg did not delve deeper into source data. But I would like to know whether issues like publications bias and data dredging, which distort scientific results elsewhere, are problematic in these areas. If they are, and I would be surprised if they are not, that fact would almost certainly strengthen his arguments further. In that sense, I wonder if he is sceptical enough. But it would also have stirred up another hornets nest, so perhaps he is wise to have avoided the issue.

In summary, it is nonsense to class this book as anti-environmental. It does not criticise environmentalism, it criticises abuse of information leading to a misunderstanding of the environment. This, Lomborg believes, should lead to a more rational assessment and better policy options. I think it is an outstanding and illuminating piece of work which you should approach with an open mind and, as always, a degree of healthy scepticism.

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79 of 87 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars The polarization of opinion on this book, 29 Dec 2001
No doubt you have noticed the great polarity of opinion on this book -- so far, eight people have given the book five stars, and two have given it one. I suspect that all too often, we rate controversial books like this according to whether they agree with our existing opinions! This applies to myself as much as to anyone else.

I think this is an excellent book, and for me its strength are the meticulously researched references which back up almost every paragraph in the book (the references and the index make up 30% of the pages).

Not being any kind of environmental expert, I find one of the one-star reviewers' comments useful: is it possible that Lomberg is falling into the trap of presenting selective data, which he himself warns against? I do not know the answer to this question, but this book has at least piqued my interest to find out.

Can I make a suggestion to potential one-star reviewers: Your arguments against the book would be much more convincing if you could point out specific, major errors (ie. not typos etc.), with references to primary research. The current one-star reviews are emotional in tone, and not fact-based.

Dr Victor Chua, MB BChir, MRCS

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1.0 out of 5 stars Flawed analysis and unhelpfully misleading
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5.0 out of 5 stars Scare tactics exposed!
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5.0 out of 5 stars Welcome dose of reason
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