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The Little Book That Beats the Market (Little Books. Big Profits)
 
 

The Little Book That Beats the Market (Little Books. Big Profits) (Hardcover)

by Joel Greenblatt (Author)
3.9 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (7 customer reviews)
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Product details

  • Hardcover: 176 pages
  • Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2 Dec 2005)
  • Language English
  • ISBN-10: 0471733067
  • ISBN-13: 978-0471733065
  • Product Dimensions: 18 x 13 x 2.3 cm
  • Average Customer Review: 3.9 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (7 customer reviews)
  • Amazon.co.uk Sales Rank: 50,182 in Books (See Bestsellers in Books)

    Popular in these categories:

    #39 in  Books > Business, Finance & Law > Personal Finance > Investing
    #45 in  Books > Business, Finance & Law > Personal Finance > Stocks & Shares
  • See Complete Table of Contents

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Product Description

Review

"...a sharply written, anecdote–rich, easy to understand investing strategy". (Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2006)

"...a rare worthy edition to humanity′s investing know–how". (SmartMoney, May 5, 2006)

There′s certainly no dearth of advice on investment. The best–seller lists are full of books on how to be a successful investor "in only 15 minutes a week", on how to become an "automatic" millionaire, and about how to invest if you′re "young, fabulous and broke".
The best book on the subject in years is value investor Joel Greenblatt′s The Little Book That Beats the Market, which is still a top seller months after its release. Beyond the credibility that comes from someone whose private investment partnership, Gotham Capital, has produced 40 per cent a year returns over the past 20 years, Mr Greenblatt brings an elegant and simple writing style to what can be a complicated subject.
He outlines a "magic formula", based on how he invests, that anyone can use. The formula has only two inputs, a company′s earnings yield and its return on capital. The rationale is straightforward: buy shares in good businesses, measured by returns on capital, only when they′re available at bargain prices, defined as a high earnings yield.
The magic formula looks for companies that have the best combination of earnings yield and return on capital, with each input weighed equally. An outstanding company with an expensive stock ranked, say, first for return on capital but 1,999th on earnings yield, would have the same combined ranking of 2,000 as a low return on capital company within expensively priced shares, ranking 1,999th in return on capital but first on earnings yield.
Using this approach to create a regularly updated portfolio of about 30 stocks with the highest combined rankings, Mr Greenblatt tested his formula between 1988 and 2004. The results were remarkable: with only one down year, the magic portfolio would have returned 30.8 per cent a year, against a 12.4 percent annual return for the S&P 500.
Rather than using the latest 12 months′ earnings to calculate earnings yield and return on capital, Mr Greenblatt and his analysts try to improve on the rote application of this formula by using earnings estimates in a "normal" year, one in which nothing unusual is happening within the  company, its industry or the overall economy.
Mr Greenblatt has created a free website for screening stocks based on his approach (www.magicformulainvesting.com). In a recent screen I carried out on the site of the top 100 magic formula companies with market capitalizations above Dollars 2bn, the top 10companies ranked by market cap were Exxon Mobil (XOM), Microsoft (MSFT), Pfizer (PFE), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), IBM (IBM), Intel (INTC), Conoco Phillips (COP), Dell (DELL), 3M (MMM) and Motorola (MOT). Now that′s an impressive group of companies.
I own one of them(Microsoft) in my portfolio. Given how sceptical I am about the tech sector, owning this is a real leap for me but this is a fantastic business and the stock is attractively priced. Microsoft has a dominant franchise, some of the most jaw–dropping economic characteristics ever achieved, capable, honest, shareholder–friendly management, and unlike most technology companies, reasonably predictable future prospects.
I am optimistic about Microsoft′s future prospects for a number of reasons. The company will be releasing in the next year significant upgrades of its two cash cows, Windows and Office. Historically, these events have been big and highly profitable events for Microsoft.
Yes, Microsoft′s days of ultra–high growth are over, inevitable for a company with Dollars 40bn in annual revenues. But it is highly likely the company will grow substantially faster than the S&P 500 for many years to come and that its fabulous economic characteristics will remain largely intact.
At a recent price of Dollars 27, Microsoft, after adjusting for the company′s cash hoard, is trading at under 17 times earnings estimates for this calendar year.
I don′t claim this is screaming cheap but it is close to the lowest p/e multiple the stock has ever traded at and is, I believe, an attractive price for a company of its quality and bright future.
You might wonder if Mr Greenblatt is concerned that popularising his strategy will mean it will stop working. "Traditional value investing strategies have worked for years and years and everyone′s known about them," he says. "They continue to work because it is hard for people to do, for two main reasons. First, the companies that show up on the screens can be scary and not doing so well, so people find them difficult to buy.
Second, there can be one–, two– or three–year periods when a strategy such as this doesn′t work. Most people aren′t capable of sticking it out through that."—Whitney Tilson is a money manager who co–edits Value Investor Insight and co–founded the Value Investing Congress. (Financial Times, April 24, 2006)

"...an entertaining two–hour read" (Daily Telegraph, April 2006)

"...the book unquestionably makes good on its promises." (SmartMoney, March 2006)

Joel Greenblatt′s The Little Book That Beats the Market is pitched not to the swells of Wall Street but to the novice individual investor.
Greenblatt, the founder of hedge fund firm Gotham Capital, has taken what he has learned about investing and written this skinny, pocket–size book.
His goal: to explain how to make money in terms that even his five kids could understand. "I figured if I could teach them how to make money for themselves, then I would be giving them a great gift."
Greenblatt, a Columbia Business School professor and an investor for 25 years, says, "I believe I can teach you (and each of my children) to be one of them" — meaning, a successful investor.
The Little Book That Beats the Market is simple and sincere; Andrew Tobias, author of The Only Investment Guide You′ll Ever Need, writes the introduction.
The formula works if you have faith and are patient enough to follow his guidance — over time, Greenblatt says.
Greenblatt′s formula is based on Warren Buffett′s investment principles: Invest in good companies when they are cheap.
According to Greenblatt, his formula historically has beaten the market for nearly two decades. Although he does not name the stocks, he claims that from 1988 through 2004, the high–return/low–price stocks of 30 of the largest 2,500 companies had returns of 22.9% annually.
Simple enough. But how do you find these stocks? "The truth is you don′t need an MBA to beat the market," he writes.
But there′s no fairy godmother on Wall Street. "If your stockbroker is like the vast majority, he or she has no idea how to help you! They don′t get paid to make you money. The plain fact is you are on your own." That said, you have no business investing in individual stocks on your own, he says.
His magic formula promise: "If you just stick to buying good companies (ones that have a high return on capital) and to buying those companies only at bargain prices (at prices that give you a high earnings yield), you can achieve investment returns that beat the pants off even the best investment professionals."
He has a free (for now) website, www.magicformulainvesting.com, which screens companies using his criteria. He advises individual investors to buy a basket of 20 or 30 top stocks over the course of a year and turn them over on a strict schedule, depending on how they perform. He does not mention a minimum amount to invest.
Be forewarned, though. The formula may or may not work over "shorter" periods, which can often mean years, not days or months. Good things come to those who wait and, in this case, Greenblatt means that it takes three, four or even five years to show its stuff. After a year or two of performing worse than the market averages, most people won′t stick with it. But you′ve got to "really believe in it deep down in your bones."
Even if you don′t drink the Kool–Aid, you will learn about the technique of value investing from a pro. Greenblatt boils investment jargon down to what you need to know as succinctly and humorously as possible. Along the way — and it won′t take you more than two hours tops — you′re given a tutorial on bonds, stock shares and prices, earnings yields, return on capital and more. The appendix, which is "not required reading," adds a more detailed, strategic commentary.
It might be hard for less–schooled investors to understand why the "magic" formula makes sense and to stay with it when things get bleak, but the hard part is just getting started, he counsels. That′s true for investing, period. (USA Today, January 16, 2006)

“Greenblatt delivers admirably…it contains one of the clearest, most entertaining explanations you’ll ever see of the ideas underlying value investing.” (International Herald Tribune, 16th January 2006)

Hedge fund manager and Columbia University business school professor Joel Greenblatt has written a delightful volume called The Little Book that Beats the Market (Wiley) that anyone who takes his personal investing seriously should read. Greenblatt starts his slim volume with an uncommonly elegant explanation –– written for his children –– of how to value stocks. He argues that any investor can achieve higher–than–average returns by investing solely in companies with a high earnings yield and high return on equity. The book′s biggest flaw is Greenblatt′s use of cute, over–hyped language. He calls his approach to stock picking a "magic formula" and acts certain his strategy will continue to beat the market even now that everybody knows about it. (The Washington Post, December 25, 2005)

“a marvellously clear explanation of the value investing approach” (Financial Times (also on FinancialNetnews.com) 10th December 2005)

“The book is certainly writte...



Review

"...a sharply written, anecdote–rich, easy to understand investing strategy". (Wall Street Journal, August 7, 2006)

"...a rare worthy edition to humanity′s investing know–how". (SmartMoney, May 5, 2006)

[THE LITTLE BOOK is the] "best book on the subject in years." (Financial Times, April 24, 2006)

"...the book unquestionably makes good on its promises." (SmartMoney, March 2006)

"Greenblatt boils investment jargon down to what you need to know as succinctly and humorously as possible". (USA Today, January 16, 2006)

“Greenblatt delivers admirably…it contains one of the clearest, most entertaining explanations you’ll ever see of the ideas underlying value investing.” (International Herald Tribune, 16th January 2006)

“a marvellously clear explanation of the value investing approach” (Financial Times (also on FinancialNetnews.com) 10th December 2005)

“The book is certainly written simply and the concepts are conveyed compelling” (Daily Telegraph, 29th November 2005)

"...engaging investment primer." (Publishers Weekly, November 14, 2005)

"The Little Book is one of the best, clearest guides to value investing out there." (The Wall Street Journal, November 9, 2005)

"...an entertaining two–hour read" (Daily Telegraph, April 2006)

"...the best book on the subject in years." (Financial Times, May 2006)

"Mr Greenblatt′s system is elegant, simple and, on the face of it, very successful." (Investors Chronicle, May 2006)

"…worth a look." (The Business Supplement, September 2006)


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7 Reviews
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Average Customer Review
3.9 out of 5 stars (7 customer reviews)
 
 
 
 
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148 of 151 people found the following review helpful:
3.0 out of 5 stars A New Way to Buy Low and Sell Annually, 12 Jan 2006
By Professor Donald Mitchell "Jesus Makes Me a P... (Boston) - See all my reviews
(TOP 10 REVIEWER)      
Ever since computer databases have become more available and computing time and memory have been cheap, anyone can take investment history and devise a "back-tested" solution that would have made you a fortune.

I don't recall any version of such a scheme that ever held up for long when it was then used to make investments going forward. Why? Conditions change.

Mr. Greenblatt's approach uses a 17 year history during one of the strongest bull markets in American investing history to come up with his approach. Will this approach work during a flat or declining market? Who knows?

Mr. Greenblatt argues (unpersuasively to my mind) that his approach will continue to work because the method fails to work very consistently over periods of less than three years. That will discourage anyone from using it for very long.

The approach is summarized on pages 134 and 135. Basically, you go to his Web site and use the data there to pick companies with a low price relative to buy 20-30 stocks over the next year (a few every 3 months). You sell each one a day or so after a year has passed (to get capital gains treatment), and replace it with another stock. You pick a minimum size market cap (he suggests at least $50 million), and you select from among the stocks for companies which traded at the lowest multiple of EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) which had the highest ration of EBIT to the sum of net working capital plus net fixed assets in the prior 12 months. The Web site does this for you now for free.

Here is another practical problem with the book. You need to have quite a lot of money to start with or trading fees will eat up your capital. Let's say you have $10,000 to start. You will be making 60 trades a year to buy and sell 30 stocks. Assuming you pay on-line commission rates of $10 a trade, that's $600 gone to start. If you pay more for trading the problem is worse. So to be efficient, you will probably have to be able to commit at least $25,000. More is better.

I would have been more impressed if the approach (which is a variation on value investing) had included a search for global value. The U.S. stock market is much more expensive now than many other markets. A bargain in an over-priced market may not be such a bargain after all.

Mr. Greenblatt does have a nice way of explaining his ideas. Any teenager could follow this book. I suggest that the book's best use is in introducing teenagers to the idea that Mr. Market is way too volatile in setting "correct" prices, and you can take advantage of that by buying low. Then hand your teenager a copy of The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham to understand how you can find bargains. If that approach seems too complex for your teenager, provide next a copy of John Bogle's Commonsense on Mutual Funds.

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3 of 5 people found the following review helpful:
2.0 out of 5 stars Good but we're in the UK, 6 Jul 2007
By Wight Reader (Isle of Wight, UK) - See all my reviews
A very logically presented book and the underlying principles stand up to logic.

BUT, the only track record presented to support the 'magic formula' in based on the US stock markets, so how they would work in the UK (or any other) stock market is open to anyone's opinion.

OK, it's easy to trade from the UK on the US markets, but that introduces currency risks.

A good, and interesting read, but I won't be using the principles until/unless someone does some validation using historical UK data.
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3 of 5 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars Very Good, 25 Oct 2006
By Martin Anderson (London, UK) - See all my reviews
(REAL NAME)   
While it might be odd that most of this book is concerned with justifying the investing model (the 'Magic Formula') than actually applying it, it makes a lot of sense. You begin to see why this formula works, and how it's simplicity is it's strength and why it can be so effective. This means that when you come to using it, you do so with a firm understanding on why it works.

In fact it's so good that I know of a major investment bank where it's pretty much required reading.
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Most Recent Customer Reviews

5.0 out of 5 stars Invaluable...despite the somewhat odd style for a book on investing
The Little Book that Beats the Market was quite an unexpected read, to say the least. On one hand I can see the benefits of its humorous, simple, story-telling style for those who... Read more
Published 8 days ago by pg33

5.0 out of 5 stars Worth it's Weight in Gold
Excellent. Mr Greenblatt certainly know's how to invest with exceptional returns over the long term. This book is a simplified version of what Mr. Read more
Published on 27 April 2006 by N. Moran

2.0 out of 5 stars Capital Asset Wealth Management Ecnomist
Before you buy this book you MUST try Penman "Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation". Completing Penman's book u will have not one but hundred valuation methods... Read more
Published on 27 Feb 2006

5.0 out of 5 stars tommot
This book is really one of those gifts that keep on giving. The essence of the 150 pages could easily be compressed into two pages, but those two pages would be invaluable to any... Read more
Published on 30 Jan 2006

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