A fascinating overview of the rise and fall of Tulipmania - with the emphasis on mania. Anyone looking for parallels with 2008 won't be disappointed. All the elements are there. Initially, tulips would be bought and sold on flowering, but it wasn't long before someone had the bright idea of creating a futures market in bulbs - putting down a deposit with a promise to pay at some later date - increasing leverage in the process by buying larger and larger quantities in the expectation of a significant rise in value. It all goes to prove that Put and Call options, and ineffective attempts to ban to ban short-selling are nothing new. There was even the development of a sub-prime market as cheaper varieties were sold by the pound and a flood of new investors entered the market, keeping the whole process going.
Unlike the current situation, however, and despite a hesitant and un-coordinated initial response by the authorities (sound familiar?), this `shadow market' in tulip derivatives was eventually unwound without seriously affecting the `real economy'. The collapse didn't prevent a similar, if smaller scale, mania for hyacinths a century later - but, we never learn, do we? The elements of every bubble are the same - a surge in value against a background of lax regulation creating unsustainable but irresistible expectations of future profits, and a growing disregard for risk.
Mike Dash has written an absorbing tale, recounting the history of the flower, and giving an outline of the political and economic context of the United Provinces - but the subject matter is immaterial, the story is a recurrent tale of the irrationality of markets and human folly, and that can happen in any context.