The trouble with science is that it still offends human pride. We know Galileo displaced Earth from the center of the universe and that Darwin showed humans and chimps share a common descent. But science generates resistance from the conservative/romantic right, as a harbinger of destruction of all value, and from the left, as `legitimator of bourgeois ideology'. It is the intellectuals rather than the public at large that are troubled by science (if opinion polls are to be believed) but when it comes to influencing policy, it's not a case of one man, one vote. The intellectuals have more clout. It's to this group that this book is addressed.
The trouble with science is not because empirical thinking does not come naturally to us. The first task Dunbar undertakes is to draw a distinction `cookbook' and `explanatory' science (p.17). Cookbook science is technical, practical observations about the world, rules of thumb that are used by human beings to plant crops, raise livestock and to fashion tools. Dunbar shows convincingly that humans across cultures everywhere (and from a young age) are hard-wired to use the rules of induction. The inductive method is not a western `construct.' Empiricism is genuine `human universal'. (p.58). Explanatory science is the higher-end, `pure' science that sets out to explain the world and doesn't necessarily have any technological utility, such as quantum physics. He overlooks that this type of science does have specific cultural origins. But to me that doesn't matter. Explanatory science does not stand or fall on whether its origins are `western' but whether it is true. That's the answer to the relativists.
The fact is that science that when it comes to explaining the natural world, science has no equals. If you want a practical vindication of the efficacy of science, then the example of the near-disastrous outcome of the Apollo 13 mission will suffice. The crippled spacecraft could not be turned around. So ground control used the moon's gravitational field as a slingshot, which could only be done if the engines were fired at a precise time and place. As we know, there was a happy outcome. And for that we can thank not only the mission controllers and the astronauts but also Newton for having done the necessary maths to allow them to do the calculations.
Why does science work so well that it is able to do this? To say that science rests on whether its propositions can be falsified, as Karl Popper once held, is a misconception. A theory does not stand or fall on whether it fails a single test - the problem of confounding variables makes this test too austere. Science is successful because it is (1) methodical - not just cautious, but long, slow and patient in working through of all of the ins and outs of a hypothesis; (2) that it is able to draw `strong inferences', that is, very precise predictions of stunning accuracy; which is turn (3) reinforced by logical argument. We can see and hear the paucity of logical argument on most days, on the TV, in the newspapers, and in every day conversation, with its use of sloppy arguments, `conclusions do not follow from the premises, non-sequiturs (in which statements are wholly unrelated to anything that went before) abound (p. 108).
So then, although empiricism comes naturally to us, the rigour of explanatory science does not. The reason is that `our minds have been honed by evolution to identify rules of thumb that suffice for everyday purposes as quickly as possible.' (p. 113).
Our brains appear to be better adapted to understanding the social world rather than the natural one. Perhaps this distinction is false: we are part of nature after all. But even if we allow for this, then it still follows that our brains are better at working out other minds rather than unlocking the riddles of physics. Intelligence may have evolved to deal with our social natures, that we all live in societies, of one form or another, and to suss out what others' intentions are is a vital survival skill, both to detect any threat they may pose, and to catch out free riders and other cheaters who are parasitical on the social nature of one's fellows.
How then do we popularize science if it is so far from the realms of common sense or the sort of cookbook, empirical rule of thumb style of reasoning that is reasonably well adapted to our everyday needs? Dunbar does not really provide an answer although the number of good science writers out there who have emerged in the years since this book was first published (1995) shows that it is possible to do this, to render scientific jargon into intelligible prose for the layman. The contrast with the gobbledygook of the `bolt hole' of post-modernism could not be greater.
The book tackles the objections of the ultra-relativist cultural left better than it does the conservative, romantic right. This is not to say that the objections of the latter are well formulated. The complaints of those like Roger Scruton that science robs us of meaning are so vaguely formulated that it's impossible to answer them. But never mind. Most people get on with their lives without being bothered by such things.
For those that are really troubled by science, the only thing that would please them is perhaps to put an end to science altogether. But, as Dunbar cautions, `we are now dependant on science to sustain us in our day-to-day lives. Neither we in the industrialized nations nor those in the developing world could return to pre-industrial agricultural economies without incurring terrible consequences in social and demographic terms' (p. 176). Science may well be troubling. But to do without it would be more troubling still.