Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes, and the National Exit Poll [Paperback]

With three degrees in applied mathematics, Richard Charnin began his career in defense/aerospace as a numerical control engineer/programmer. He later worked for Wall Street investment banks as manager/developer of corporate financial and merger analysis software. With the 1981 advent of personal computers, he converted mainframe FORTRAN programs to spreadsheets. As a consultant, he has developed quantitative applications for domestic and foreign financial institutions and major industrial corporations. Charnin never imagined himself as the Internet poster "Truth Is All" But after the 2000 election fiasco, he was motivated to develop forecast models using pre-election state and national polls. In July 2004 he began posting weekly Election Model projections. The model was the first to use Monte Carlo simulation and sensitivity analysis to calculate the probability of winning the electoral vote. The final projection gave Kerry 337 electoral votes and 51.8% of the vote, closely matching the preliminary exit polls. Following the election, he began posting analyses, sparking heated online debates. Forced to retire in Feb. 2006 from a near-fatal heart attack while posting, he spent four months in two hospitals. While recuperating, he proceeded to develop projection models and exit poll analyses for the 2006 midterms. In 2008, he did an analysis of the primaries followed by weekly Election Model projections of the presidential election. The final projection gave Obama a 53.1% share and 365.3 expected electoral votes compared to the recorded 52.9% and 365 EV. But the True Vote Model determined that Obama had 58%, 419 EV and a 22 million vote margin. The analysis presented in the book proves that the True Vote always differs from the official recorded vote. In 1969, primitive computers took us to the moon. Faulty hardware is not the cause of voting machine glitches. It's the fault of the humans who program them to miscount votes.