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Profiting from Uncertainty: Strategies for Succeeding No Matter What the Future Brings
 
 
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Profiting from Uncertainty: Strategies for Succeeding No Matter What the Future Brings [Hardcover]

Paul J.H. Schoemaker

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Alberto Ibarguen Publisher, "The Miami Herald" This is the strategic equivalent of a good liberal arts education. It teaches you a broad-based approach that will keep you from being surprised by change.

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On March 17, 2000, a lightning bolt ignited a fire in Albuquerque, New Mexico, destroying a Philips semiconductor plant. Read the first page
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Amazon.com:  2 reviews
6 of 7 people found the following review helpful
Best Strategy Book I Have Ever Read 1 Mar 2009
By Dave Carpenter - Published on Amazon.com
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Verified Purchase
As a consultant, I have been working with companies in all kinds of industries on strategy issues for 25 years. During that time, I have been a prolific reader of books on the strategy process, as well as of books on strategies being used by leading companies. I am not sure how I missed this book when it was published seven years ago, but I am grateful that I finally learned about it as a result of a chance encounter with author Paul Schoemaker.

As I write this review, companies in all manner of industries face as much uncertainty as likely has ever existed in modern business times. Many a CEO has told me that they are struggling not only with problems of their company but also with unbelievable uncertainty as to both the overall economy and as to their industry. Ripple effects from other industries are causing all kinds of problems. Uncertainty reigns supreme.

Schoemaker writes about an approach to strategy development and planning that embraces the uncertainty, and he goes even further to encourage management to profit from uncertainty. I love the way his holistic approach weaves together strategy development best practices, decision theory, organizational behavior, and dynamic monitoring. Brilliant!

When written in the year following the 9/11 catastrophe, uncertainty was an important factor for management to consider and the author gives insightful examples of companies doing exactly that. But, in today's global meltdown, planning for uncertainty becomes an absolute necessity.

In a sense, this was a book written ahead of its time. But, you can expect to see more and more books emulating this gem over the next twelve to eighteen months. No need to wait for those books, this book is the pace setter.

The notion of planning for uncertainty is intellectually stimulating. Fortunately, Schoemaker writes very clearly with none of the pomposity so common to writing by many of the academically gifted. Concepts are well explained and thoughtfully illustrated. The organization of the material is first rate, and the editing a pleasure compared to the norm in today's business books.

This is one of the finest business books I have ever read. And, it certainly is a critical prescription for every executive struggling to deal with so much uncertainty, right in the middle of a downturn that I believe will turn out to be as severe as anything since the Great Depression.

I strongly recommend the book...and the implementation of the concepts set out by this brilliant strategist.
5 of 7 people found the following review helpful
Helpful review 8 Oct 2002
By A Customer - Published on Amazon.com
Format:Hardcover
The best thing going for this book is that it is in fact well-written not like most of the dreck in business books. The ideas here are not revolutionary and you're not likely to find anything you hadn't at least heard before. It does however organize all of these disparate thoughts and bring them together in a way to help motivate action.
Along the way I'd also recommend Tony Murphy's Achieving Business Value from IT as a book that effectively does the same thing -- organizes information well to help you move toward positive action and improving process and performance (as oppossed to strategy which is this books forte).

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