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Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces that Shape Our Decisions
 
 
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Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces that Shape Our Decisions [Paperback]

Dan Ariely
4.2 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (111 customer reviews)
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Product details

  • Paperback: 304 pages
  • Publisher: HarperCollins (5 Mar 2009)
  • Language English
  • ISBN-10: 0007256531
  • ISBN-13: 978-0007256532
  • Product Dimensions: 19.4 x 12.8 x 3 cm
  • Average Customer Review: 4.2 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (111 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: 1,983 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

More About the Author

Dan Ariely
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Review

'For anyone interested in marketing - either as a practioner or victim - this is unmissable reading. If only more researchers could write like this, the world would be a better place.' Financial Times

‘A marvelous book that is both thought provoking and highly entertaining, ranging from the power of placebos to the pleasures of Pepsi. Ariely unmasks the subtle but powerful tricks that our minds play on us, and shows us how we can prevent being fooled.’ Jerome Groopman, New York Times bestselling author of How Doctors Think

‘PREDICTABLY IRRATIONAL is wildly original. It shows why—much more often than we usually care to admit—humans make foolish, and sometimes disastrous, mistakes. Ariely not only gives us a great read; he also makes us much wiser.’ George Akerlof, Nobel Laureate in Economics, 2001 Koshland Professor of Economics, University of California at Berkeley

Charles Schwab, Chairman and CEO, The Charles Schwab Corporation

"The most difficult part of investing is managing your emotions. Dan explains why that is so challenging for all of us, and how recognizing your built-in biases can help you avoid common mistakes." --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

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Front Cover | Copyright | Table of Contents | Excerpt | Index | Back Cover
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Customer Reviews

Most Helpful Customer Reviews
95 of 99 people found the following review helpful
By SAP VINE™ VOICE
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Vine™ Review (What's this?)
This is really a popular psychology book about how we behave and how, as the subtitle puts it, hidden forces influence our everyday decisions. So don't be put off by quotes from businessmen and economists in the blurb. I almost was. But I'm glad I wasn't. This is a neat little book with plenty of nuggets of information and insights that you can put to use immediately. You learn things about yourself and other people that seem so obvious you wonder how you'd never noticed them before and you learn why hunches you've had in the past really are right. Each chapter of this book consists of some simple experiments that are designed to probe a different aspect of our decision-making process e.g. how our expectations affect how we experience things and why too many choices can be unhelpful, to mention just two. The experiments are simple and elegant.

They usually consist of asking two or more differently informed groups of students questions about something. Actually, sometimes the author is a bit vague about the exact experimental conditions, how bias was eliminated from the experiment (particularly with respect to how questions were framed [what language was used] and how the participants were chosen [a few samples were decidedly small]) and how the many variables were isolated and controlled. So in that sense we must take Ariely's word for it. Also, he often vaguely summarises the results of these experiments with words such as "more than" and "most" instead of giving figures. If he were giving a lecture I would have asked him to clarify quite a few points. But all in all I think that this was an interesting book albeit a short one. It is a slim volume and the typeface is quite large. I'm a slow reader and I read it comfortably over two days.
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45 of 48 people found the following review helpful
By tomsk77
Format:Hardcover
I bought this having seen Dan Ariely speak at LSE recently. He was an engaging speaker and his research sounded interesting.

Having read the book I was left a bit underwhelmed, because I found that I was already familar with both some of the research and a number of the concepts, and was tempted to give it 3 stars. However on reflection that's probably a bit unfair. This is actually a good book for people interested in learning about the field of behavioural economics. It's nicely written with a chatty style, and some of Ariely's research is very interesting.

Just a few snapshots to give you an idea of what this book covers. He looked at subscription packages for The Economist and found that and obviously bad deal led people to choose an option that was like it but obviously better (because it gave them a way to measure the options). In contrast when there were two options that were different but hard to compare they tended to just go for the cheap option.

In a maths test where subjects were given a cash reward based on the number of problems solved and were given an opportunity to cheat, he found that asking them to recall the Ten Commandments ahead of the test appeared to make them less likely to be dishonest.

And in taste tests people prefer Pepsi to Coke when tasting blind, but prefer Coke to Pepsi when they know in advance when they know what they are going to drink. This suggests that we prime ourselves to enjoy something we expect to enjoy.

If this all sounds 'obvious' to you, to some extent you are right (although there are many examples in this field that are counterintuitive). But people like Ariely make the point that although in a 'common sense' way we know that we are easily influenced and 'irrational', policy is often still made with the assumption in mind that we behave as rational self-maximising economic agents.

One point that can be, and often is, made in return is that although behavioural economics is good at describing seemingly irrational behaviour, it is yet to prove itself as a useful resource for designing better policy (although opt-out, rather than opt-in, approaches to both pension saving and organ donation are arguably influenced by behavioural insights). And in fact Ariely's book is at its weakest when he tries to suggest ways that his research findings might inform policy (I'm not surprised that the bank didn't call him back about his credit card idea!).

So for someone such as me interested in policy the book is enjoyable, but a bit limited in value. However if you are new to this field and interested in finding out more this is a good starting place, and you may well find yourself surprised by some of the findings.
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109 of 118 people found the following review helpful
By Ray Blake VINE™ VOICE
Format:Hardcover|Amazon Vine™ Review (What's this?)
The field of behavioural economics is a fascinating one, which has already brought us the wonderful 'Freakonomics'. By comparison to that book this one suffers somewhat, because:

(1) There is an unremitting US-centricity here. All the examples and experiments are about typically US topics, all the conclusions are spelled out in a US context.

(2) The findings are often used as a launching point for some thoroughly unscientific moralising about how society ought to act differently.

(3) The experiments all seem rather narrow in scope. None is repeated and all seem to run on a rather small scale. It seems that as soon as one experiment throws light on a curious behaviour, it is time to move on to the next. I suspect the writers of 'Freakonomics' might have found more data to explore more fully aspects of the behaviour each time.

I was also annoyed by several chapters containing an appendix which appears right after the chapter, rather than all residing at the end.

On the plus side, Ariely writes engagingly and describes the experiments with a fair amount of humour. I paricularly enjoyed his descriptions of the experiment testing the effect of arousal on judgment.
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Most Recent Customer Reviews
The pop version of "Thinking, Fast and Slow"
This book is a very enjoyable and interesting read - but I have now read Kahneman's Thinking Fast and Slow. Read more
Published 1 month ago by A. Schaffer
Interesting book + good service.
Can't say much about the book just started reading it. While somewhat "popular" in its approach it certainly poses an interesting question as to why so many persist in basically... Read more
Published 3 months ago by vanya
Just as described
I bought this book for under £6 so was a good deal for me. A gift for my sister. Book was just as described, paperback and brand new without any marks or scruffs. Read more
Published 4 months ago by Mr. Jeegar Merchant
Economics, human behavior style
A fantastic book that is written in an easy writing style. Anyone with a slight interest in economics or business should read this book. Read more
Published 7 months ago by Guy Grobler
Makes you think, doesn't it.....?
Thought provoking.

I got this book as a 'business read' but found its also very entertaining. Read more
Published 8 months ago by Mr. G. P. Mills
A+++
Great book although somewhat over written in places, some long explanations for what most people would call common sense, but a fantastic and interesting book for the most part.
Published 8 months ago by Joseph Leonard
A scrapbook of findings from experimental economics
Style: the author admits he was coached in the ways of writing 'popular' economics. This means you have to wade through lots of cosy anecdotes about individuals before you can get... Read more
Published 9 months ago by C. F. Boyle
An interesting and enjoyable read, but makes some dubious claims
In this book, Ariely presents his experiments on a range of topics, which produce some perhaps surprising results. Read more
Published 10 months ago by Rebecca
Slightly obvious?
The idea behind this book is that people don't always behave rationally - and that this exposes the faultlines in classical economics. Read more
Published 10 months ago by MonsterMunch
Nice easy and informative read.
Much of what this book says may have come under the already knew that category for me but there was still a lot of interesting insights and new takes on otherwise familiar... Read more
Published 11 months ago by David Reynolds
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