Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises (Wiley Investment Classics) [Hardcover]

To begin, Kindelberger takes the traditional thought that people are rational beings and introduces the fact that speculation leading to destabilization is very much present, and that many of history's crashes have come from this irrational behavior, ie manias and panics. To explain, one must first define what a mania is, what a panic is, and ultimately, what a crash is.

According to Kindleberger, a mania is basically just excessive speculation in the market. It follows, as Kindleberger suggests, that if one observes someone else, ie a friend, who is making money through speculative investments, one tends to follow. Mania is movement from cash or money into illiquid real assets. As more and more people begin to investment on speculation, people that would normally be indifferent to this type of behavior decide to invest, it is called a mania. Also used interchangeabley with the term maina is the term "bubble". The use of the word "bubble" to explain this speculation foreshadows bursting. In this book, bubble refers to "an upward price movement over an extended range that then implodes. Extended negative bubbles, or periods of disinvestment are what are called crashes.

Panics refer to the period after the mania has died down, and people are beginning to speculate in the opposite direction. As the maina was the upswing, the panic is the downswing. Panics are easily defined as the movement away from illiquid assets to money or cash.

Crashes are sometimes thought to be the result of an extended period of panic. More often, a crash involves the collapse of prices or the failure of important firms or banks. However, financial crisis can result from one or the other or both, in no particular order. Kindelberger sites the crash of 1929 as an example. " The 1929 crash and panic in the New York stock market spread liquidation to other asset markets, such as commodities, and seized up credit to strike a hard blow at output." In spite of this Kindelberger explains that there was no money market panic as evidenced by the increase in interest rates.

Informative and concise, Kindelberger is able to encompass more than three hundred years of financial crises in about 200 pages. In he majority of these cases, he asks the important question of whether or not there was a lender of last resort, and if not, would it have made a difference. A lender of last resort acts to halt a run out of illiquid assets into money by making more money available, through a discount window. The author goes into great detail of who has been the lender of last resort in past crises. For example in the various crises that affected France in the nineteenth century, The Bank of France has acted as lender of last resort. While in Prussia in 1763, the king acted as lender of last resort.

From all of this, Kindelberger attempts to explain some of the lessons that all of the crises in the past have given us. Besides of the advantages of having a lender of last resort, he warns us that it is not the whole solution. Having a lender of last resort can pose its own problems. Many institutions, because there is someone to bail them out, partake in more risky practices. By simply bailing out these mismanaged firms, we are not giving them incentive to improve their operation.

Manias, Panics, and Crashes is a well of information on the topic of financial crises. Kindelberger has made this book an easy read for the everyday person, not just economists. By avoiding the mathematics and jargon used in so many other economics books, he has produced a book that is necessary reading if one is contemplating in "playing the market." Manias, Panics and Crashes would be a wise investment for them as well as anyone curious in financial history . The old adage is true, those who do not know the past are condemmed to repeat it. By learning of others past mistakes we can more successfully navigate our own way.

The material is organised as to show the constant aspects in the formation and bursting of speculative bubbles, i.e. by stage of the process; hence, it may disappoint the reader in search of an easily accessible chronicle of each single case. Despite the enticing title, it is not a book for everyone: it is best appreciated by readers familiar with modern history and/or economic theory.