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Broadly speaking, growth investors seek those companies with fast growing earnings; value investors, of which Neff is one, seek those companies that other investors have discarded into the waste heap. Neff teaches how to sift through the rubble to uncover those valuable gems and nuggets that others ignore. He says, "if you do the work and answer the right questions, you can dine out on the down-and-out".
The book divides roughly into three: the first third is his Horatio Alger, rags-to-riches story: how all the New York investment banks turned up their noses at this mid-western lad; but he had the last laugh. The second section is where the meat is. Neff outlines techniques which value investors can employ to pick shares. He preaches a key indicator for readers to use to determine whether the company's growth prospects and low price warrants an investment. Neff provides numerous examples. The third section is a year-by-year description of his investment decisions, where he offers insights about the rational behind the decisions.
Over the last decade, value investing has fallen by the wayside, in favour of growth investing with a technological bent. Many investment managers have changed their style to meet the demands of retail and institutional investors. Neff believes this is a mistake. He says those that follow stock to towering heights do so at their own peril: "The capacity of investors to believe in something too good to be true seems almost infinite at times", especially at a market peak.
Neff, speaking from a vantage of a lifetime in the market, argues that staying the value course always wins out. This is a great handbook for those new to the game as well as the most seasoned portfolio managers. --Bruce McWilliams --This text refers to the Hardcover edition.
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In JOHN NEFF ON INVESTING, one of the true masters of Wall Street tells us exactly how he compiled this amazing record. With collaborator Steven Mintz, he explains what kinds of stocks he looked for (in a nutshell, low p/e stocks of companies growing earnings in excess of 7% annually, often paying a respectable dividend) and a long list of qualifications concerning just what makes one low p/e stock better than another. (A low p/e company growing too fast is suspect. A dividend yield isn't always a must. Cyclical stocks should offer lower p/e multiples. The list goes on and on.) Just as importantly, Neff shares the wisdom of a lifetime in the investment business, outlining the pitfalls that can trap the unwary investor. (See Chapter 9, CARE AND MAINTENANCE OF A LOW P/E PORTFOLIO.
The meat of Neff's discussion of his investment style is included in the middle third of the book. Armed with this advice, an investor can easily begin to screen the stock market for companies that fit the Neff mold. (MSN MoneyCentral Investor, at www.investor.msn.com, offers a powerful and free screening tool. There are many others.)
Elsewhere, Neff devotes the first third of his book to talking about his formative years in the investment business prior to taking over the Windsor Fund. In the final third of the book, he provides a journal describing his investment activities at the helm of the Windsor Fund. He talks about critical buy-sell decisions, why he made them, and how they worked out ... and also describes the ever-changing market environment in which he was making them. (Reading this book is a great reminder that large-cap growth stocks don't always lead the market, as they have for the past five years. As such, it should help investors be better prepared the next time market leadership changes.)
If you had the chance to sit down and talk with John Neff for a few weeks about his career and his investment style, what you would get, though likely not so well structured, would be this book. I'd love to spend those weeks with John Neff. But I wouldn't give up the chance to have read this book, either. Few investors have achieved more than Neff, and his story deserves a place on any investor's reading list. ###
Mr. Neff's idea of "inflection points" in the market is useful and in Chapt. 14 "Deja Vu" where he covers the current market he appears to predict the recent correction in NASDAQ and internet stocks. The book is unusually silent on 1994-95, the last two years of his management when Windsor underperformed the S&P 500 although earlier periods of underperformance are well covered. The book although published in 1999 is to no surprise silent on the abysmal underperformance of Windsor from 95-99 by Mr. Neff's disciple Mr. Freeman although Mr. Freeman is highly praised in the book. The book is an interesting narrative on management of a mutual fund and contains some useful information on the market and stock selection but not nearly as helpful as hoped for.
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