For years there has been a market for books that promote investing for a crisis. Usually these books have a discernable right wing bent (in part because the authors know the effects of government intervention into markets) but this book is pleasantly different. Seavey is a small town investor with a "green" agenda who nonetheless offers some decent thoughts about where to put your money today. I disagreed with some of his ideas, agreed with others, and generally found that I could have a thoughtful dialogue with the text, which always makes for an interesting read.
Starting with my disagreement with Seavey: in chapter one he recommends hard currency investing and in chapter two discusses collectables. I am in an awkward position to criticise Seavey on these topics: I personally own a lot of precious metals and collectable coins and have done very well with my holdings in this area. But I purchased the bulk of my investment in this area in the late 1990s, when gold was between $275 and $325 an ounce, silver was about $4 an ounce, and financial advisors uniformly panned precious metals as having any value in a modern portfolio. After all, inflation was permanently under control and taxes would be low into the forseeable future. Cue 2009 and gold suddenly looks, well, golden, but I think a bubble could easily develop here and in related collectables markets as investors try to find some sort of safe haven. The time to invest in gold was when it was out of favor, and that time has clearly past. Seavey offers some informed opinion that gold could easily double or triple from its present price, and he could be right, but I think of gold as speculative at present. That does not mean inflation and higher taxes are not on the way: they clearly are, but gold may not be the best diversification to prepare for them at this point.
But I was pleasantly surprised by some of Seavey's other recommendations: move to small towns and live cheap. This is advice I have actually followed. Rural life is often less expensive than in big cities, and fewer regulations make it easier to build and renovate cheaply. He correctly notes that surveys dealing with quality of life find more people satisfied with rural than urban areas. That said, I think a few caveats are in order. First, readers should know that rural prices did not, at least in California where both the author and I live, fall as much as urban home and lot prices. Second, energy costs may soon increase dramatically, and while Seavey is correct in noting that it is easier to create a "green" home in a rural community, one may still experience a net increase in cost of living if and when cap and trade or similar "energy" bills pass. Still, I live without air conditioning or TV, in part because I live in a locale where these items, so necessary in the rest of California, are truly optional.
I particularly liked some of Seavey's other suggestions: start your own small business, rent space to others, and his comments on socially responsible investing (SRI). Of course, that term means different things to different people, but in general, SRI investors tend to be more aware of trends in certain types of companies and do very well. I strongly agree with some of his mutual fund recommendations in this area, particularly Pax World. Here again, however, I would caution investors to not simply look at what the current administration is choosing to fund. Governments have a particularly poor track record when it comes to picking the next innovative energy technologies, while private citizens familiar with small firms on the cutting edge will do much better. Be sure when investing with any SRI goals, from alternative energy to Catholic values, that you do your research.
On the whole, I found this book refreshingly different from most of the "crisis investing" literature I have read. The author has a vaguely counterculture "Whole Earth Catalog" outlook which informs his investing decisions and he has done reasonable well by himself. I found his open admission of his mistakes in investing and personal experiences relatively unique in this genre. There is not a lot of specific advice, but some thoughtful ideas by someone who is trying to rethink how we will invest in the future, and I enjoyed the relatively unique approach.