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Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences
 
 
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Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences [Paperback]

John Allen Paulos
4.5 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (11 customer reviews)

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Product details

  • Paperback: 208 pages
  • Publisher: Hill & Wang; 1 edition (Sep 2001)
  • Language English
  • ISBN-10: 0809058405
  • ISBN-13: 978-0809058402
  • Product Dimensions: 21.1 x 14 x 1.4 cm
  • Average Customer Review: 4.5 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (11 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: 354,357 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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John Allen Paulos
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Product Description

Product Description

Why do even well-educated people understand so little about mathematics? And what are the costs of our innumeracy? John Allen Paulos, in his celebrated bestseller first published in 1988, argues that our inability to deal rationally with very large numbers and the probabilities associated with them results in misinformed governmental policies, confused personal decisions, and an increased susceptibility to pseudoscience of all kinds. Innumeracy lets us know what we're missing, and how we can do something about it.

Sprinkling his discussion of numbers and probabilities with quirky stories and anecdotes, Paulos ranges freely over many aspects of modern life, from contested elections to sports stats, from stock scams and newspaper psychics to diet and medical claims, sex discrimination, insurance, lotteries, and drug testing. Readers of Innumeracy will be rewarded with scores of astonishing facts, a fistful of powerful ideas, and, most important, a clearer, more quantitative way of looking at their world.

About the Author

John Allen Paulos, professor of mathematics at Temple University and the author of several other popular books on mathematics, is a regular contributor to national publications, including The New York Times and Newsweek. He lives in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

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Most Helpful Customer Reviews
22 of 23 people found the following review helpful
By Donald Mitchell HALL OF FAME TOP 500 REVIEWER VINE™ VOICE
Format:Paperback
To me, the most intriguing aspect of this book was Professor Paulos's ability to take simple math concepts that I learned way back when . . . and to show how they could enrich and expand my appreciation of the world around me now. It was like Alice going through the looking glass in the sequel to Alice in Wonderland. There's a lot there that I never imagined. For example, the way disease rates are often described is for those who have survived to 85 years old. If you are younger, your current probability of incidence will be much lower (possibly more than 90 percent lower). Also, you can use the way you design your questions and sample to help eliminate bias (such as by asking about the results of a coin flip and dangerous sexual behavior in the same population). You can also find great humor in the errors of authority figures who misquote probabilities and risks. Plus, you can answer questions that I would never have thought of (such as the likelihood of breathing in an atom that Caesar did).

If you are feeling cowed about your math ability, take heart! Most of the concepts here you can handle. For example, can you multiply two numbers together? You can answer "yes" to my question if you can do so with a calculator. If so, you can appreciate almost all of the examples in the book.

Professor Paulos has a mind that works differently and more inquisitively from mine, but I enjoyed learning how his thoughts. He thinks about topics like how long it would take dump trucks to excavate Mount Fuji, how many times a deck of cards need to be shuffled to become random, and what the Earned Run Average is for a pitcher who lasts one-third inning and gives up 5 runs. I realized that if I thought about more things like this, I would develop new perspectives on the world.

He makes a helpful attempt to create solutions so that more people can appreciate the world in a quantitative sense. These include using exponents to indicate the size of numbers (such as the Richter Scale does for earthquake strength), refocusing secondary math education to practical applications rather than teaching calculus earlier and earlier, having talented mathematicians teach younger people, and disciplining those who communicate in public to check the mathematical accuracy of what they say.

What do we lose if we don't? Well, those who don't learn a little math will end up in careers that pay a lot less. Social resources will be misapplied to problems that are less serious (obscure diseases and terrorism get a lot more attention to reducing accidental deaths among young people, which is a greater danger). We will make bad resource decisions in our own lives (such as by playing the lottery without realizing that 50% of the money is not paid out to anyone buying a ticket).

I also appreciated how few people can use mathematics in creative ways, to solve problems. For instance, in our professional practice we developed a new way to forecast certain forms of investment behavior. Over 20 years of doing this work, I have never found anyone who could make a single useful suggestion for how to improve the mathematics of our approach, despite having had conversations with dozens of people with advanced math and statistics degrees who would get benefit from an improved approach. I suspect from this experience that there's a higher level of mathematical thinking that Professor Paulos did not explain in his book that we would all benefit from learning. Where do we start? I can hardly wait to learn!

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9 of 10 people found the following review helpful
By Ross
Format:Paperback
Sadly this book will probably not be read by the people who would gain the most out of it, those who are terrified of numbers. Innumeracy is the one state of ignorance which is seen as socially acceptable. Paulos presents a strong case that mass innemeracy is a severe problem in modern society (he mostly refers to his own country, the USA, but the case is just as true in the UK) and the effects are all too real.

Basic misunderstandings of probability for example seriously impacts the ability of people to make rational life choices, Paulos uses the example of people who are too afraid to fly because they fear terrorism when the dangers are absolutely minescule in comparison to the danger of choking to death. The susceptiblity of the innumerate to psuedoscience is another Paulos bugbear.

The only downside to the book is that I can't honestly claim that it got me thinking about the subject for more than five minutes after I finished it.
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22 of 26 people found the following review helpful
By Michael JR Jose VINE™ VOICE
Format:Paperback
'At least part of the motivation for any book is anger, and this book is no exception. I'm distressed by a society which depends so completely on mathematics and science and yet seems so indifferent to the innumeracy and scientific illiteracy of so many of its citizens...' (p.134).

Writers generally put the motivation statement at the front of the book, but this occurs at the back. His anger does indeed fuel part of his need to write, and is one of the reasons why he succeeds but not fully. A moments reflection reveals that many books, of all types, are not motivated by anger at all. I am sure that in a calm moment he would appreciate the economy of the refutation 'NOT' appended to the first sentence of his statement. The question it raises is, can he justify his anger as righteous and thereby redeem it, like a mathematical cleansing of the temple? Or do we read the book with respect for his position and experience, but gingerly, lest we disturb a dog best left sleeping?

I like this book for the human-ness of its strengths and weaknesses. Published in 1988, it is fresh and contemporary, of course the math can never date, but his applications and examples have not dated either. As an experienced and passionate teacher of mathematics the professor has some valuable insights into the art and science of maths teaching. 'Math anxiety' and the 'extreme intellectual lethargy which affects a small but growing number of students' all concern him, as they do me. (My own small experiences in this area as a tutor and in the classroom echo his. He might also add the 'trained ability to concentrate' as a fundament of doing math - and perhaps all intellection.) He badly wants us all to gain an instinctive sense of number and master its huge array of applications in sorting the wheat from the chaff in life's great information silo. The cheap, slap-happy and sensationalist reporting of the media, astrology, quackery, pseudoscience, and the jiggery-pokery-statistics of governments all come under his sharp scrutiny. His sense of humour, wit, and selection of amusing quotations leaven the text throughout.

Some embedded gems: sections such as those on combinatorial co-efficients (how the lottery works), and binomial probability (how to test for ESP) are good, but they really are a little too brief, and use examples which are more difficult than need be. These repay careful re-reading and require expansion with one's own pencil and paper - which enforced exercise is not his intent in writing. As he himself notes, he has a weakness for being overly concise when writing, his symbolic math habits being so strong. As an author, he should try to avoid statements like 'this part can be ignored, as indeed can the whole book'...counsels of despair! And he also promises not to lecture us or patronise us in this book, as he is aware of the temptation to do so in this type of work: mostly he succeeds. For something lighter you could try 'Why Do Buses Come In Threes?' by Eastaway & Wyndham. For something a little more rigorous try 'How to Solve It' by Polya, or 'Reasoning with Statistics' by Williams & Monge'. Keith Devlin's 'The Maths Gene' is good for some psychology of math.

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Most Recent Customer Reviews
Intuition and numbers do not mix
It's a fact that more Americans die of heart disease or cancer than anything else, but more potential years of life are lost to traffic accidents. Read more
Published 7 months ago by Mark Hurst
Why we still cannot cope with numbers
Paulos wrote this book nearly twenty five years ago but the same problems he identified with how people see maths and with how people use numbers are as evident today as they were... Read more
Published 8 months ago by Andrew Dalby
Required reading
Every politician and policy maker should read this book. Most of us are guilty of the sort of shortcomings in understanding mathematics that this book highlights in a very readable... Read more
Published 13 months ago by M. Fowle
Insight and humour
Though written in the late 1980's this book remains relevant because the issues raised are as true now as then. Read more
Published 19 months ago by GJ_Reading
An Imaginative Look at the World of Numeracy!
To me, the most intriguing aspect of this book was Professor Paulos's ability to take simple math concepts that I learned way back when . . . Read more
Published on 25 Jun 2004 by Donald Mitchell
An Imaginative Look at the World of Numeracy!
To me, the most intriguing aspect of this book was Professor Paulos's ability to take simple math concepts that I learned way back when . . . Read more
Published on 13 Jun 2004 by Donald Mitchell
phenomenal, a classic
This book transformed the way I look at the world and mathematics in particular. It's full of odd mathematical takes on everyday activities, strange thought experiments, unusual... Read more
Published on 3 Jun 2001
Make us more synical toward statistical results
Underline our weakness to comprehend mathematical values. This book highlights the importantness to question how a statistical results being obtained. Read more
Published on 20 Sep 1999 by kim156@hotmail.com
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