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A rattling good detective story and a detailed and brilliant piece of science writing. --Matt Ridley, The Spectator
....one of the best science books in years....deserves to win prizes --Prospect Magazine
In addition, we can now read in shocking detail the truth of the outrageous efforts made to ensure that the same 2007 report was able to keep on board IPCC's most shameless stunt of all - the notorious 'hockey stick' graph......For a full account see Andrew Montford's The Hockey Stick Illusion. --Christopher Booker, The Sunday Telegraph
....one of the best science books in years....deserves to win prizes --Prospect Magazine
In addition, we can now read in shocking detail the truth of the outrageous efforts made to ensure that the same 2007 report was able to keep on board IPCC's most shameless stunt of all - the notorious 'hockey stick' graph......For a full account see Andrew Montford's The Hockey Stick Illusion. --Christopher Booker, The Sunday Telegraph
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Part scientific history and part detective story, The Hockey Stick Illusion tells the extraordinary tale of the iconic global warming graph (created by the US climatologist Michael Mann), the global panic about climate change that it has helped to feed, and the tireless efforts of a lone amateur researcher, Steve McIntyre, that have comprehensively discredited it. From the earliest attempts to reproduce the Hockey Stick graph, to the explosive publication of McIntyre's work and the launch of a congressional inquiry, The Hockey Stick Illusion is a remarkable tale of scientific misconduct and amateur sleuthing. It explains the complex science of this most controversial of scientific findings in layperson's language and lays bare the remarkable extent to which climatologists have been willing to break their own rules in order to defend climate science's most famous finding. Already acclaimed by experts in the field, The Hockey Stick Illusion is an indispensable guide for anyone wanting to assess the credibility of global warming science.
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews
54 of 61 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars
Excellent Review of the Facts,
By Prometheus "Dr John" (South, England) - See all my reviews
This review is from: The Hockey Stick Illusion;Climategate and the Corruption of Science (Independent Minds) (Paperback)
This is an excellent book not only providing a complete picture but well written. I think it is also an important book as it tells a story of a science discipline gone wrong. The quote from Esper tells it all - "the ability to pick and choose which samples to use is an advantage unique to dendroclimatology". THIS IS NOT SCIENCE! This book has provided me with many details which has helped me understand previous papers I had read. For example I never understood how Mann's original papers ever passed the review process as they were so muddled (and I am being kind here) and the NAS report why was it so ambivalent - well now I know! This book is accessible to all especially the layman who is concerned that he/she may not understand complicated science. I think it is important that as many people read it and understand the story of people behaving badly. To quote Einstein "try not to become a man of success but rather to become a man of value" and McIntyre has certainly shown himself to be a man of value.
31 of 35 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars
Lucid, thorough and convincing,
By
This review is from: The Hockey Stick Illusion;Climategate and the Corruption of Science (Independent Minds) (Paperback)
If there was a contest to be the number one emblem of runaway catastrophic man-made climate change, Michael Mann's Hockey Stick graph would be a major contender.
The Hockey Stick Illusion, by Andrew Montford, is about the story behind the graph, and about the efforts of one man in particular - semi-retired Canadian mining consultant Steve McIntyre - to uncover its flaws. Published at the beginning of 2010, it follows the trail of events which started with the publication of Mann's papers MBH98 and MBH99, and with McIntyre's initial 2003 request for information regarding the original datasets for these studies. As the chapters unfold, a complex tale of scientific bungling, whitewash and obfuscation begins to emerge. Put baldly like that, the book is in danger of sounding just a little dull, but this is actually not the case at all. It reads, if anything, rather like a good detective novel - specifically a police procedural, where the protagonist leaves no stone unturned in his long quest for the truth. Along the way, there's no shortage of statistical detail (which is where the devil is, as they say) but thankfully, for readers who like myself are more comfortable with words than numbers, the author has managed to explain statistical arcana, such as principal components analysis and "short centring", in terms that the layman can readily grasp but without dumbing down the subject matter. Andrew Montford has managed to tell this complex story with a spareness and a clarity that in other circumstances would merit a Crystal Mark from the Plain English Campaign. This is an important book, I believe, and one which will grow in importance. Not because the Hockey Stick graph is, by itself, crucial to the scientific case for catastrophic man-made global warming - it isn't. The Hockey Stick Illusion is important because it anatomises the modus operandi of the scientists whose work has been used to sound the alarm on global warming and justify the rushing through of ill-conceived changes to the way we all live. And where we would have expected to find scientific rigour and thoroughness, we find (or rather, Steve McIntyre found) laziness, secrecy and corner-cutting instead. It is rather like taking the cover off a shiny new stereo to discover a rat's nest of malfunctioning components and badly soldered wiring underneath. The Hockey Stick Illusion is a book that I would recommend to anyone interested in the climate debate. Even for those convinced of the case that man-made climate change is a potential threat to civilisation (and this is a category which, I believe, includes Steve McIntyre himself) there is enough here, surely, to lead to some deep misgivings about the way climate science has thus far been conducted. To quote Carl Sagan, extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and if that evidence is revealed to be sketchy, badly-documented and error-ridden, it does not inspire confidence.
22 of 25 people found the following review helpful:
5.0 out of 5 stars
All a book should be,
By
This review is from: The Hockey Stick Illusion;Climategate and the Corruption of Science (Independent Minds) (Paperback)
This beautifully-written book is a model of clarity. I was gripped by the narrative. The technical expositions were no obstacle at all.
The editing is first class and the organisation of the book is quite exemplary. This book is all that a book should be. Whatever your position on the climate issue, you will benefit from reading this book.
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