The themes here are huge, bold and politically incorrect and Mead lays them out right from the beginning:
1. Todays world is dominated by an anglo-american, maritime, liberal capitalist system (that has in very recent times disassembled the Soviet Empire and rechanneled the 2.5 billion lives of China and India)
2. This system has a long unbroken history: it was started by the Dutch, evolved by the British and is carried on by the US. Or, as Mead puts it: UP to UK to US.
3. The 300+ year economic, social and military success of this anglo-american system derives from a distinctive culture, with parliamentarian/puritan roots, dating from the Glorious Revolution of Cromwell.
Trying hard not to sound triumphalist, Mead poses six questions:
1. What has been the distinctive AA agenda?
2. Why has the anglosphere prevailed? The AA culture has been distinctively open, outward-looking and receptive to change: in scientific theory, technology, financial institutions. Mead notes the importance of, variously, the puritan work-ethic, religious dissenters, pluralism, tolerance and moral drives. He singles out the `meme' of belief in the free play of natural forces: Newton's laws, Adam Smiths invisible hand, Darwin's theory of evolution. This creates a society that is both individualistic and optimistic
3. How?
4. Why have we persistently believed that history is ending (ie that a single world system is emerging)? Tennyson's `parliament of man'; Norman Angell and the Garton Foundation, the League of Nations, the Kellog-Briand Pact, the UN
5. Why have we always been wrong?
6. What does AA power mean for the world?
Mead offers answers that combine a sweeping command of politics, history, religion and literature with a light, deft touch. Along the way he quotes from eclectic sources: Tennyson, Defoe, Heidegger, Voltaire, Macaulay, Weber, Longfellow, Bergson, Popper, Tolkein and Marx.
He offers amusing conceits: for example, the extended metaphor of the Walrus (the UK) and the Carpenter (the US) and the oysters (everyone else); the metaphor of the UK as Goldilocks and Germany as Gretel; his explanation of Hollywood and fast food in terms of Occam's razor.
Although Mead hardly mention Iraq, his argument almost certainly is intended to address the issues of Islamic terrorism, naïve intervention and anti-American hatred generally and places Bush's `Axis of Evil' speech in a long historical context, from Cromwell onwards.
Mead is broadly optimistic: although history is not going to end, the great AA project, even if mutable, looks unstoppable.
Mead's arguments are of course deeply insulting to almost everyone who is not part of the anglosphere: he dismisses the conventional narrative of modern western history that focuses on the rise and fall (and possible rise again) of Europe. It is hard to believe, for example, that he will have many admiring French readers.
What are the possible counter-views? For a start, Mead is unfashionably devoid of liberal self-loathing: he has few apologies to make for the fact that the AA empire has been built on colonialism, slavery and exploitation (the poor oysters). Unfortunately there is no way to prove that if the AA system had not prevailed, the alternative would have been better. (Perhaps, like the Chinese the English should have burned their boats and left everyone alone).
Then there is the unprovable view that the whole pax Americana is coming to an end with the rise of China. But should we worry that China is rising since it may well be on the way to adopting the AA system itself?
Memo: We might note that:
(a) By 2010, 100m Chinese are estimated to become `middle class' with an average income per head of $18K by 2010
(b) 300m or 25% of Chinese have studied or are studying English. This equals the combined population of the US and UK
A provocative book, fizzing with ideas.