Foresight 2009 [Paperback]

The analytical team at Exclusive Analysis spend much of their normal working day analysing specific risks to particular assets all over the globe. The yearbook is a welcome opportunity for them to communicate externally some of the broader global issues that inform their everyday analysis, and allows them to anticipate the relevant questions businesspeople and government policy makers will face. As such, the yearbook offers a chance to step back and think about the issues most likely to develop in at least the year ahead, if not longer.

There are a few recurrent pieces in the yearbook, such as the `Global Risk Outlook', which highlights key specific risks in each region. The `Language of Risk' article speaks to the importance of clear and precise communication, a bedrock of our analysis. However, most topics are selected by teams best placed to analyse the principal issues in their regions. How will South Africa change under Jacob Zuma? How will the war against the `Taliban' impact on security in the West? How will new government policies affect foreign investors in Russia's vast natural resources sector? Some topics are truly global. The current financial crisis has implications for increased government protectionism and regulation, and has the potential to change corporate and investor behaviour fundamentally. After a chaotic year in agricultural markets, will we see more panic stockpiling and trade embargos; and are genetically modified crops likely to be more favoured? Welcome to Foresight 2009

There are a few recurrent pieces in the yearbook, such as the `Global Risk Outlook', which highlights key specific risks in each region. The `Language of Risk' article speaks to the importance of clear and precise communication, a bedrock of our analysis. However, most topics are selected by teams best placed to analyse the principal issues in their regions. How will South Africa change under Jacob Zuma? How will the war against the `Taliban' impact on security in the West? How will new government policies affect foreign investors in Russia's vast natural resources sector? Some topics are truly global. The current financial crisis has implications for increased government protectionism and regulation, and has the potential to change corporate and investor behaviour fundamentally. After a chaotic year in agricultural markets, will we see more panic stockpiling and trade embargos; and are genetically modified crops likely to be more favoured? The wider briefing pieces demonstrate a taste of how we can turn our insight of distinct environments into actionable foresight of our clients' risks and opportunities. We would love you to contact us if something in the yearbook surprises you, or if you find an article especially interesting. Or just to say you have read it! Many have done this over the years and it's a great way to start a dialogue. Welcome to Foresight 2009.

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Exclusive Analysis is a strategic intelligence company that forecasts political and violent risks, drawing on a privileged global source network to provide actionable, forward-looking analysis for its clients.

Exclusive Analysis is a company that is passionate about creating the right culture
to produce objective and accurate analysis. Our vision is to put the `science' into
political science and systematise the qualitative and subjective art of political risk
analysis to inform explicitly commercial decisions. This hinges on having unique
information inputs and collecting the right data to enable us to spot trends and
events ahead of others. We feed these inputs into a structured analysis process
and employ tools, such as sophisticated mapping capabilities, to help clients
quantify specific risks. We also specialise in horizon scanning and scenario analysis
to help clients with their strategic planning.

Exclusive Analysis is a strategic intelligence company that forecasts political and violent risks, drawing on a privileged global source network to provide actionable, forward-looking analysis for its clients.