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The Economic Consequences of the Vickers Commission
 
 

The Economic Consequences of the Vickers Commission [Kindle Edition]

Laurence J. Kotlikoff
5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (1 customer review)

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Product Description

Product Description

The financial crisis showed that bankers have the British public over a barrel. When banks do well, the bankers are awarded huge bonuses. When they do badly, the taxpayer has to step in and save them or face the consequences of systemic collapse of the payment system. Bankers can just ‘make the money and run’, leaving the government to pick up the pieces when things go wrong.

The Vickers Commission was meant to put a stop to this by safeguarding ordinary retail banks from the gambling of investment banks. Laurence J. Kotlikoff shows that the Vickers proposals fail to do this. Even banks deemed ‘good’ can turn bad, since no one can predict which ‘safe’ assets will actually be safe in the future. Moreover, ‘bad’ banks are still left too big and too powerful. If they fail, they will drag ordinary banks down with them, freezing the payment system and creating a recession in the wider economy.

Kotlikoff’s alternative, Limited Purpose Banking (LPB), replaces the current system of ‘trust-me’ banking with the more transparent ‘show-me’ banking. LPB bans banks from holding anything except mutual funds. Mutual funds hold no debt, so they cannot individually, or systemically, fail. The payment system would use on-demand deposits that are backed pound-for-pound by actual cash.

Bankers would not be allowed to lend out their customers’ money without explicit permission and full disclosure of the risks. Large private losses could still take place within the financial system but without endangering the rest of the economy or burdening taxpayers. In short, Kotlikoff’s proposal stops bankers from being able to gamble with other people’s money.

About the Author

Laurence J. Kotlikoff is a William Fairfield Warren Professor at Boston University, a Professor of Economics at Boston University, a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, a Fellow of the Econometric Society, a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, President of Economic Security Planning, Inc., a company specialising in financial planning software, a columnist for Bloomberg, a columnist for Forbes and a blogger for The Economist. Professor Kotlikoff received his BA in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania in 1973 and his PhD in Economics from Harvard University in 1977. His most recent books are Jimmy Stewart Is Dead; Spend 'Til the End, co-authored with Scott Burns; The Healthcare Fix; and The Clash of Generations, co-authored with Scott Burns.

Product details

  • Format: Kindle Edition
  • File Size: 521 KB
  • Print Length: 78 pages
  • Publisher: Civitas: Institute for the Study of Civil Society (30 Jun 2012)
  • Sold by: Amazon Media EU S.à r.l.
  • Language: English
  • ASIN: B008GN4C66
  • Text-to-Speech: Enabled
  • X-Ray: Not Enabled
  • Average Customer Review: 5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (1 customer review)
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: #299,253 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
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5.0 out of 5 stars Kotlikoff's scathing indictment of Vickers. 1 Aug 2012
Format:Kindle Edition
This book is a scathing indictment of the U.K.'s Vickers commission report on banking, and with good reason. Kotlikoff starts his executive summary with the following sentence:

"The Independent British Banking Commission, the Vickers Commission was charged with keeping the British economy safe from another major failure of its banking system - a failure from which the UK economy is still reeling. Unfortunately, it's done nothing of the kind."

And later in the summary, Kotlikoff says,

"Instead of fixing the real problems with banking - opacity and leverage - the Vickers Commission Report pretends to fix banking by re-arranging the deck chairs."

The book is short: roughly 25,000 words. But quality is more important than quantity.

The Vickers commission proposes splitting banking into two categories (in a similar way to Glass-Steagall). There are "High Street / retail" banks (or bank subsidiaries), and in contrast "casino / investment" banks (or bank subsidiaries), and the two are allegedly separated by a "ring-fence".

Some basic points made by Kotlikoff are as follows.

1. Vickers HINTS that it would let investment banks go bust. But as is obvious from the demise of Lehmans, it is very doubtful as to whether that was a good idea. The consequences were disastrous. So would Vickers let investments banks go bust? They aren't clear on that one.

2. Vickers proposals would not have saved Lehmans.

3. Several crucial decisions as to what needs to be done to effect the much vaunted ring fence are just not taken by Vickers. That is, the Vickers report leaves those decisions to "the regulators". (That's the folk with a proven inability to regulate banks.
... Read more ›
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