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Climate Models Fail [Kindle Edition]

Bob Tisdale
5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (4 customer reviews)

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Book Description

Climate Models Fail exposes the disturbing fact that climate models being used by the IPCC for their 5th Assessment Report have very little practical value because they cannot simulate critical variables of interest to the public and policymakers. Using easy-to-read graphs, this book compares data (surface temperature, precipitation, and sea ice area) with the computer model simulations. It is very easy to see that the model outputs bear little relationship to the data. In other words, climate models create imaginary climates in virtual worlds that exhibit no similarities to the climate of the world in which we live.
This book was prepared for readers without scientific backgrounds. The terms used by scientists are explained and non-technical “translations” are provided. Introductory sections present basics. There are also numerous hyperlinks to additional background information. The book is well illustrated, with more than 250 color-coded graphs and maps. It is an excellent introduction to global warming and climate change for people who are not well-versed yet want to learn more.
Climate scientists created computer models to determine whether anthropogenic greenhouse gases and other manmade factors could have caused the slight global warming of the past 150 years. In their virtual worlds, the answer is yes — anthropogenic greenhouse gases were the primary cause of the warming in those digital worlds. But, because the modeled worlds differ greatly from Earth, and because the models cannot simulate the natural ocean-atmosphere processes that cause or stop global warming, climate models cannot be used to attribute global warming to human-induced factors.
To support this, numerous peer-reviewed scientific studies are very critical of the climate models. They point to a multitude of failings: improper simulations of temperature, precipitation, volcanic eruptions, sea ice, and natural ocean-atmosphere processes like associated with El Niños, La Niñas and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. An entire chapter discusses examples of those peer-reviewed papers. They expose climate model failures to accurately simulate (hindcast) the processes and metrics crucial to understanding past climate change…and they suggest (some clearly state) that climate models have no value for telling us anything about how climate may change in the future.
Model-data comparisons make up the bulk of this book. Surface temperature, precipitation, and sea ice area data are available to the public in easy-to-use formats via the web, as are the climate model outputs. Climate models show no skill at being able to simulate global surface temperatures since 1880. In recent decades, they drastically overestimated the warming on two continents, and they have extreme difficulty with regional temperatures. Climate models show no skill at being able to simulate sea surface temperatures or coupled-ocean atmosphere processes. Climate models can’t simulate precipitation, and they totally miss the mark with sea ice. At the ends of many model-data comparison chapters, the research papers that are critical of climate models are once again referenced. This supports the model-data presentations and allows readers to refer to the graphs so that they will have a better understanding of the importance of the model failings discussed in the papers.
Interest in global warming was renewed with the cessation of warming. This book includes sections showing how the surface temperatures of ocean basins and regional land areas are behaving during this warming plateau — and which two ocean basins are responsible for it.
Climate Models Fail clearly shows that climate models have little value for the public and policymakers because their number-crunched virtual worlds do not come close to simulating the real world we inhabit.

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Product details

  • Format: Kindle Edition
  • File Size: 43702 KB
  • Print Length: 478 pages
  • Simultaneous Device Usage: Unlimited
  • Sold by: Amazon Media EU S.à r.l.
  • Language: English
  • ASIN: B00FEGNXA4
  • Text-to-Speech: Enabled
  • X-Ray:
  • Word Wise: Enabled
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  • Average Customer Review: 5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (4 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: #316,250 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
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Most Helpful Customer Reviews
1 of 1 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars What science should be. 5 July 2014
Format:Kindle Edition
Beautifully demonstrates how AGW models have consistently failed to accurately project climat and temperature changes on both the regional and global level using IPCC model output and publicly accessible temperature records from a number of respected authoratative sources.
Unlike AGW theorists, the author explains why and how he has used basic statistical methods to enable the data to be presented in the most accurate and meaningful way, while providing numerous links to sites from which data/information has been accessed. Nothing to hide here, and every opportunity provided for his detractors to prove his methods or conclusions wrong, a wholly refreshing approach, reflecting what science should be all about - a search for the truth, rather than an attempt to achieve a predetermined result by any means.
Should be compulsory reading for every politician, every AGW camapigner and every secondary school child in the world.
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2 of 2 people found the following review helpful
Format:Kindle Edition|Verified Purchase
Absolutely clear exposition on how poor the 'IPCC' GCM climate models perform -- the mismatch between climate model output and reality is staggering. If that is the best that the IPCC can come up with after the billions wasted on their research, it casts all science in a poor light. Bob Tisdale's examples are yet another piece of damning evidence for the total misconception of anthropogenic global warming.
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2 of 2 people found the following review helpful
Format:Kindle Edition|Verified Purchase
Bob Tisdale has given an accurate data comparison with the IPCC data sets showing his results including all sources. He has come to drasticaly different conclusions to the extent of Global Warming and its causes after proving that the IPCC models are not only inaccurate, but model an entirely different Earth than our own.
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5.0 out of 5 stars Excellent 3 Sept. 2014
By David
Format:Kindle Edition|Verified Purchase
I certainly came away from this hook knowing a lot more than I did at the start. Recommended, Bob has a real knack of making the complex easy to digest
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Amazon.com: 4.1 out of 5 stars  7 reviews
13 of 16 people found the following review helpful
4.0 out of 5 stars Clear, concise, and stunning! 26 Sept. 2013
By T. J. Olson - Published on Amazon.com
Format:Kindle Edition
Bob Tisdale writes clearly, concisely, and knowledgably about climate science and IPCC orthodoxies. He also writes critically - and as Karl Popper knew (and too many keep forgetting), science only advances through criticism and falsifying empirical tests.

This, Tisdale's latest and lengthiest book ever, has even earned the endorsement of Roger A. Pielkr, Sr - the eminent climate scientist at the University of Colorado at Boulder. He tweets (September 25th) "Highly recommended new book 'Climate Models Fail' by Bob Tisdale."

If you don't know why this is a huge endorsement, consider that Pielke is the sole dissenter from the latest revision of American Geophysical Union's (AGU) latest statement (August 2013), hyping global warming alarm over human released carbon dioxide. They did so far beyond what sound science can support. This AGU committee even quashed Pielke's request to issue a minority report, as he explains HERE: [...]

Get Bob Tisdale's up-to-date climate histrionic critique, as the latest IPCC report on climate change makes waves in the pond of policy media and popular science. You'll be glad you did.
8 of 10 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Very good assessment of the poor state of the climate modeling art 9 Oct. 2013
By Andres Valencia - Published on Amazon.com
Format:Kindle Edition|Verified Purchase
Bob Tisdale's book is a very good assessment of the poor state of the climate modeling art.
Well illustrated, well referenced, well written.
4 of 5 people found the following review helpful
5.0 out of 5 stars Oceans, Sun Light and Clouds are important 4 Dec. 2013
By Kelly Haughton - Published on Amazon.com
Format:Kindle Edition|Verified Purchase
Tisdale shows in detail the importance of oceans, the sun and clouds in understanding the earth's climate. Indeed climate models that try to project future climate conditions relying primarily on CO2 levels fail. This is due to their poor modeling of natural changes occurring in the oceans due to changes in cloud cover and the resulting amount of sunlight getting to the oceans; in particular, the western Pacific.

Tough read for a layman, but important topic if you want understand naturally occurring climate change.
4 of 6 people found the following review helpful
3.0 out of 5 stars Less detail, more basic facts would have been nice 8 Nov. 2013
By Graeme R. Grieve - Published on Amazon.com
Format:Kindle Edition|Verified Purchase
While it's more up-to-date than other readable climate books, at times it appears to become bogged down in details. I'm guessing that Bob presumes that you are on top on the climate issue and don't require the background info.
I would have liked to see more basic facts.
Nevertheless, it's always interesting to read Bob's posts on WUWT, and I'm very grateful that Bob takes the time and effort to contribute to our understanding of what appears to be the biggest con job of the century.
1 of 2 people found the following review helpful
4.0 out of 5 stars Tisdale demonstrates with a knife sharp edge the fallacies of relying on climate models. 2 Mar. 2014
By Michael Rocereta - Published on Amazon.com
Format:Kindle Edition|Verified Purchase
Having seen very complex simulation models used to predict subsurface earth response both for geophysical purposes and for fluid flow prediction (and seen their lack of reliability) I was astonished over the past 15 years to hear the AGW supporters formulate the basis for their climate theory on such an approach. Tisdale and others have unraveled the reality of the predictability of these models. For many this will be a real "eye opener" and hopefully will put in proper perspective the reliability of these models for the purposes of government policy determination.
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