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China and India: Prospects for Peace (Contemporary Asia in the World) [Hardcover]

Jonathan Holslag

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Book Description

5 Mar 2010 Contemporary Asia in the World
For all their spectacular growth, China and India must still lift a hundred million citizens out of poverty and create jobs for the numerous laborers. Both powers hope trade and investment will sustain national unity. For the first time, Jonathan Holslag identifies these objectives as new sources of rivalry and argues that China and India cannot grow without fierce contest. Though he recognizes that both countries wish to maintain stable relations, Holslag argues that success in implementing economic reform will give way to conflict. This rivalry is already tangible in Asia as a whole, where shifting patterns of economic influence have altered the balance of power and have led to shortsighted policies that undermine regional stability. Holslag also demonstrates that despite two decades of peace, mutual perceptions have become hostile, and a military game of tit-for-tat promises to diminish prospects for peace. Holslag therefore refutes the notion that development and interdependence lead to peace, and he does so by embedding rich empirical evidence within broader debates on international relations theory. His book is down-to-earth and realistic while also taking into account the complexities of internal policymaking. The result is a fascinating portrait of the complicated interaction among economic, political, military, and perceptional levels of diplomacy.

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Provocative. -- James T. Areddy China Real Time Report - a Wall Street Journal blog 12/22/09 Mr Holslag provides a useful corrective to some of the more starry-eyed visions of a semi-cohesive "Chindia." Economist 2/4/2010 A timely overview of the emergent Sino-Indian rivalry. -- Sumit Ganguly H-Asia 6/1/10 Holslag offers a thorough analysis of Chinese/Indian relations and their many dimensions. -- Rick Docksai World Futures Review 4/1/10 Highly recommended. Choice 8/1/10 This book is highly recommended for general readers and area studies scholars alike who want to know more about the relations between two Asian giants... -- Juliet Susanna Lobo Contemporary South Asia Vol 19, No 3

About the Author

Jonathan Holslag is head of research at the Brussels Institute of Contemporary China Studies and an expert for the European Commission's EU-China Academic Network (EC-AN). He has published extensively on China's foreign policy strategy in Asia.

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Front Cover | Copyright | Table of Contents | Excerpt | Index | Back Cover
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4.0 out of 5 stars Interesting - 29 Aug 2010
By Loyd E. Eskildson - Published on
In the last six decades China and India fell into war once (1962), and tottered on the edge five other times. No serious progress has been made on their underlying border dispute. The author believes that the two will not grow without additional conflict with each other, though hopefully it will not be military.

Half their labor forces (about 660,000) has to survive on what their owned/assigned farmland yields. Five decades ago both were reclusive, had comparable-sized economies ($239 billion for China in 1947, vs. $222 billion for India), and the world's two largest populations (536 million in China, 346 million in India). The lack of any strong personality available to fill the post-Mao leadership void left the CCP to focus instead on economic development to legitimize CCP leadership and provided an outlet for nationalism via economic development. Commercialization's increasing importance in China brought decentralization of economic authority to the provinces. The 1995 official visit of Taiwan's president to the U.S. led to belligerent proposals from China's military and Jiang's need to 'prove' his leadership via military exercises and missile salvos near Taiwan.

Natural labor force growth obliges China to create 55 million more jobs between 2010-2020, while India must add 316 million by 2045. About 54% of China's industrial output in 2007 was exported (and employed 75% of those in industry), compared to India's 28%.

The author sees continued growth in both nations creating competition in autos, agriculture, software, energy resources. Growing commercial ties will also pull states like Nepal out of India's sphere of influence; India's nuclear deal with the U.S. is viewed suspiciously in China, as is China's relationship with Pakistan viewed by Indians.
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