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Butterfly Economics: A New General Theory of Social and Economic Behavior
 
 
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Butterfly Economics: A New General Theory of Social and Economic Behavior [Paperback]

Paul Ormerod
5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (4 customer reviews)
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Product details

  • Paperback: 240 pages
  • Publisher: Basic Books; Reprint edition (4 Jan 2001)
  • Language English
  • ISBN-10: 0465053564
  • ISBN-13: 978-0465053568
  • Product Dimensions: 20.3 x 13.3 x 1.6 cm
  • Average Customer Review: 5.0 out of 5 stars  See all reviews (4 customer reviews)
  • Amazon Bestsellers Rank: 114,374 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Paul Ormerod
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Product Description

Amazon.co.uk Review

In Butterfly Economics, Ormerod challenges conventional thinking with the idea that economics is more akin to a biological than a mechanical system. Therefore, by looking at how individuals actually behave instead of analysing predicted behaviour, governments will have a more realistic view of economic theory.

Drawing from sociology, psychology and even entomology (the study of insects), Ormerod argues that the control governments believe they exert over economies is illusory. He throws out the notion that individuals behave according to a clearly defined set of economic rules and argues that people are most likely to be influenced by the behaviour of others. Ormerod backs this up by citing the inability of companies to predict which will be the most popular toy each Christmas or which films will be hits with the consumer. Applying his theory to a wide variety of topics from the financial markets to voting behaviour, he argues effectively for less political intervention.

Ormerod lives up to his reputation as the thinking person's economist in this easy to digest book. His message to governments and businesses alike is to forget short-term intervention and in its place to think strategically by looking at the big picture and long-term results. --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

Product Description

A beautifully written and engaging look at the cutting edge where economics meets complexity theory. In this cogently and elegantly argued analysis of why human beings persist in engaging in behavior that defies time-honored economic theory, Ormerod also explains why governments and industries throughout the world must completely reconfigure their traditional methods of economic forecasting if they are to succeed and prosper in an increasingly complicated global marketplace.

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Most Helpful Customer Reviews
2 of 2 people found the following review helpful
Format:Paperback
After searching some books offering an introduction to chaos theory and its possibilities for economics, I'm happy to say I have found it.
This book is a brilliant introduction for people tired of established, well respected economic theory that fails to catch up reality in 99% of the cases.
The reader will find a nice book to enter a very good explanation on how the economy really behaves, not worrying too much about maths. But this does not mean ideas are fussy or indetermined.

Nevertheless, bibliography is too short for those who want to go further into the issue of chaos applied to economics, and it still will require some more development to become a real full size general theory.

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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful
Format:Paperback
I had been thinking about how modern mathematics should be applied to solve old economic problems. This book offers the reader a quick glance on why has conventional economic theory failed to describe and predict reality.
For a long time we have been taught, as economists, about wonderful mathematical complex systems that were not worth a penny, sometimes wondering what a doctor or an arquitect would feel if they had to learn by heart middle ages ideas on medicine or arquitecture, for heart surgery or building up the petronas towers. Like mister Ormerord says, using 19th century tools to solve 21st century problems.
This book is quite an intelectual challenge for all of us who do not take established economic thought as sacred and do not think that when reality and theorical predictions differ, reality is to be blamed for it.
It points loads of interesting questions, advancing the framework for a new general theory.
However, I miss a wider bibliography to go deeper in the issue. it would have contributed more to create a general theory if its ideas had been better organized.
It is a brilliant introduction to people who are seeking for an introduction on chaos applied to economics, setting aside mathematics.
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By A Customer
Format:Hardcover
Describing nonlinear / nonequilibrium effects in economics is not easy but Ormerod has made the best expose to date. His prose is concise and clear and his case compelling. You know someone is really good when they make it look this easy. I know because I have recently written a book (Nonlinear Pricing, Wiley, 1999) on a related topic.

Butterfly Economics is a must read for those who seek to prosper in the 21st century. Ignore Ormerod's information age thinking at your own peril.

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